C
Onyeka Okongwu▼
ATL · C
PPG
15.8
RPG
7.8
APG
3.2
L5 PPG
13.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.6
15.8
13.2
RPG-0.6
7.8
7.2
APG-0.8
3.2
2.4
UNDER 15.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
15.5
21
MIL
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs MIL: 21 pts
10
PHI
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs PHI: 10 pts
18
DAL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs DAL: 18 pts
13
BKN
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs BKN: 13 pts
4
MIL
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIL: 4 pts
Over 15.5
Under 15.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 15.5
72%
REB
UNDER 8.5
58%
AST
UNDER 2.5
65%
PRA
UNDER 24.5
68%
vs ??? (H2H)17 games
PPG
10.1
RPG
6.7
APG
1.4
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren | 4 | 25 | 65% | +17.1% | medium |
| Nikola Vučević | 3 | 19 | 71% | +18.8% | medium |
| Moussa Diabaté | 3 | 19 | 75% | +27.1% | medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 2 | 18 | 93% |
Okongwu Struggles vs Magic Defense Despite Home Court Advantage
Okongwu is trending downward with a season PPG of 15.8 dropping to 13.2 over his last 5 games, including a brutal 4-point outing against Milwaukee on March 14th. Historically against Orlando, he averages just 10.1 PPG across 17 matchups on only 24.1 MPG, well below his season norms. The Magic's defensive rating of 113.9 presents a manageable matchup, but Paolo Banchero (primary defender with 36.5 MPG availability) holds opponents to 40.4% FG, which aligns with limiting Okongwu's 48.6% season mark.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.2(↓ from 15.8)
RPG
7.2(→ from 7.8)
APG
2.4(↓ from 3.2)
vs Magic (Career)
(↓ from 10.1)
Key Matchup
Paolo Banchero will likely handle primary wing/forward defense responsibilities with 36.5 available minutes. Wendell Carter Jr. (23.2 MPG) could see minutes against Okongwu in pick-and-roll situations. The Magic's defensive scheme has successfully limited Okongwu historically.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Onyeka Okongwu▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 15 | ✓ |
Onyeka Okongwu▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 7 | ✓ |
Onyeka Okongwu▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 4 | ✗ |
Onyeka Okongwu▼ | PRA | 24.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 26 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS12.5UNDER16%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
3PM2UNDER25%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA24.5UNDER26%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PA5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼
P+R21UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
REB8UNDER13%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
AST3UNDER2%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼
R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼
STL1UNDER28%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
BLK1UNDER20%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
FTM1UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
FTA2UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
Featured Pick
Onyeka Okongwu
Points UNDER 15.5MEDIUM
Okongwu's last 5-game average of 13.2 PPG and career average of 10.1 PPG vs Orlando strongly suggest underperformance on the 15.5 line. While the season average sits at 15.8, the Orlando matchup represents a consistent negative variance, making the under the sharper play despite -133 juice.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.