SF
Tristan da Silva▲
ORL · SF
PPG
9.7
RPG
3.8
APG
1.5
L5 PPG
15.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+5.5
9.7
15.2
RPG+2.6
3.8
6.4
APG+1.7
1.5
3.2
OVER 13.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
13.5
11
MIN
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIN: 11 pts
5
MIL
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs MIL: 5 pts
23
CLE
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs CLE: 23 pts
26
WAS
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs WAS: 26 pts
11
MIA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIA: 11 pts
Over 13.5
Under 13.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 13.5
72%
REB
OVER 5.5
68%
AST
OVER 2.5
65%
3PM
OVER 1.5
62%
vs ??? (H2H)5 games
PPG
12.2
RPG
4.0
APG
2.4
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 2 | 18 | 75% | +21.6% | low |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 4 | 17 | 41% | -11.8% | medium |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 5 | 11 | 67% | +13.2% | medium |
| Duncan Robinson | 3 | 10 | 25% |
Da Silva Heating Up Against Soft Hawks Defense
Tristan da Silva has emerged as a key contributor in Orlando's rotation, averaging 15.2 PPG and 6.4 RPG over his last 5 games with increased playing time (32.8 MPG). Against Atlanta's below-average defense (116.63 rating, -21.9% three-point suppression), da Silva has historically thrived, posting 12.2 PPG across 5 prior matchups. Playing on the second night of a back-to-back, he may see elevated usage, and his recent scoring ceiling (26 points vs WAS, 23 vs CLE) suggests ceiling potential against a permissive defensive scheme.
Stat Trends
PPG
15.2(↑ from 9.7)
RPG
6.4(↑ from 3.8)
APG
3.2(↑ from 1.5)
MPG
32.8(↑ from 24.3)
Key Matchup
Dyson Daniels has limited defensive exposure on da Silva (4.2 minutes), while Zaccharie Risacher allowed 0 points in minimal action (3.2 minutes). Atlanta's overall defense suppresses scoring by 30.3% but ranks permissive on perimeter defense (-21.9% three-point suppression), favoring da Silva's stretch skill set.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tristan da Silva▼ | Points | 13.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 7 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 1 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+R17UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
P+A15UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼
R+A6.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
Tristan da Silva
Points OVER 13.5MEDIUM
Da Silva's 15.2 PPG average over his last 5 games significantly exceeds this line, and his historical matchup average of 12.2 PPG against Atlanta understates his current form. Playing the second night of a back-to-back with expanded minutes, he projects toward 14-16 points against a defensively vulnerable Hawks team.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.