C
Wendell Carter Jr.▲
ORL · C
PPG
11.8
RPG
7.7
APG
2.1
L5 PPG
12.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.0
11.8
12.8
RPG+0.5
7.7
8.2
APG+0.7
2.1
2.8
OVER 12.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
12.5
10
MIN
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIN: 10 pts
9
MIL
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs MIL: 9 pts
11
CLE
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs CLE: 11 pts
19
WAS
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs WAS: 19 pts
15
MIA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIA: 15 pts
Over 12.5
Under 12.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 12.5
68%
REB
OVER 7.5
72%
AST
OVER 1.5
65%
PRA
OVER 16.5
71%
vs ??? (H2H)15 games
PPG
11.6
RPG
8.3
APG
1.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo | 5 | 42 | 46% | -7.1% | medium |
| Nikola Vučević | 3 | 24 | 83% | +23.2% | medium |
| Jalen Duren | 4 | 22 | 42% | -10.1% | medium |
| Evan Mobley | 4 | 19 | 47% |
Carter Jr. Riding Hot Streak Against Hawks Defense
Wendell Carter Jr. has been trending upward with last-10 scoring at 13.4 PPG and last-5 rebounds at 8.2 RPG, compared to season averages of 11.8 PPG and 7.7 RPG. The Magic are on a back-to-back, which historically boosts Carter's output (15.56 PPG in b2b situations). Atlanta's defense ranks 116.63 in rating with notable 3-point suppression (-0.219), but Carter has averaged 11.6 PPG across 15 career matchups against the Hawks. Onyeka Okongwu will likely handle primary defense, having allowed 0.565 FG% on 30 points across matchup history.
Stat Trends
PPG
12.8(↑ from 11.8)
RPG
8.2(↑ from 7.7)
APG
2.8(↑ from 2.1)
Key Matchup
Onyeka Okongwu (28.4 MPG) is the primary defender and has allowed 0.565 FG% on 30 points in the matchup history, suggesting Carter can find offensive opportunities. Atlanta's overall defensive rating of 116.63 is permissive, particularly against secondary scoring threats like Carter.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Points | 12.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 17 | ✓ |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 1 | ✗ |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | PRA | 16.5 | OVER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 21 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS13.5UNDER22%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA21.5UNDER20%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
AST2UNDER51%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
3PA2UNDER41%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼
P+R20OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
REB6OVER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
FTM3UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼
FTA4UNDER5%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
Featured Pick
Wendell Carter Jr.
Rebounds OVER 7.5HIGH
Carter has posted 8.2 RPG over the last 5 games and 8.8 RPG over the last 10, both well above the line. On back-to-back games, his average climbs to 8.89 RPG. The combination of improved form and schedule context makes this the safest play at strong odds.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.