PG
Collin Gillespie▼
PHX · PG
PPG
13.2
RPG
4.2
APG
4.8
L5 PPG
10.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.8
13.2
10.4
RPG+1.8
4.2
6.0
APG+0.4
4.8
5.2
UNDER 14.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
14.5
12
NOP
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs NOP: 12 pts
24
CHA
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CHA: 24 pts
12
MIL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIL: 12 pts
4
IND
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs IND: 4 pts
0
TOR
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs TOR: 0 pts
Over 14.5
Under 14.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 14.5
72%
AST
OVER 4.5
68%
REB
OVER 4.5
65%
3PM
UNDER 3
62%
vs ??? (H2H)3 games
PPG
9.3
RPG
2.0
APG
1.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook | 4 | 14 | 56% | +8.0% | medium |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 3 | 12 | 30% | -22.0% | medium |
| Cason Wallace | 4 | 10 | 100% | +58.0% | medium |
| Julian Champagnie | 4 | 10 | 30% |
Gillespie Struggles Against Elite Boston Defense in Road Matchup
Collin Gillespie is trending downward with just 10.4 PPG over his last 5 games, including a scoreless performance against Toronto two nights ago. He faces a Boston defense ranked 107th in defensive rating with strong three-point suppression (0.185), limiting perimeter opportunities. His historical matchup against Boston is particularly concerning: 9.3 PPG on 18.7 minutes over 3 prior meetings. Playing away from home typically boosts his scoring (14.38 PPG vs 12.15 at home), but elite defensive matchups and recent poor form suggest a below-line performance.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.4(↓ from 13.2)
APG
5.2(→ from 4.8)
RPG
6.0(↑ from 4.2)
Key Matchup
Derrick White has allowed 8 points on limited matchup data (5 min) with a .429 FG%. Boston's elite defensive rating (107) and three-point suppression should make it difficult for Gillespie to find rhythm, especially given his recent downturn in scoring.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Collin Gillespie▼ | Points | 14.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Collin Gillespie▼ | Assists | 4.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Collin Gillespie▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✗ |
Collin Gillespie▼ | 3PM | 3 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS9.5OVER19%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%+13.1% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.330▼
AST3.5UNDER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼
3PA8UNDER40%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
PRA17.5UNDER9%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼
3PM2.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼
R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
P+R15.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼
P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼
REB3.5UNDER42%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
Featured Pick
Collin Gillespie
Points UNDER 14.5MEDIUM
Gillespie's last 5 games show 10.4 PPG with a concerning 0-point outing vs Toronto. His historical average vs Boston is just 9.3 PPG over 3 games. While he benefits from road games, elite defensive matchups with recent poor form and Boston's defensive prowess make the under the smarter play despite season average sitting at 13.2 PPG.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.