Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody | 3 | 14 | 50% | -8.0% | medium |
| Christian Braun | 2 | 12 | 81% | +29.5% | low |
| Keegan Murray | 2 | 11 | 54% | +4.5% | low |
| Jaden McDaniels | 2 | 11 | 67% |
Devin Booker is in excellent form, averaging 32.6 PPG over his last 5 games with a strong trend upward. Against Boston's elite defense (107 def rating), he has historically underperformed, averaging just 20.9 PPG across 7 prior matchups. However, Booker's recent surge and the Celtics' slight three-point suppression advantage (+0.185) suggest he could exceed season norms tonight despite the difficult matchup.
Jaylen Brown has defended Booker in prior matchups, allowing 22 points on 42.9% FG across 7.5 minutes. Derrick White has been effective, holding him to just 3 points on 20% FG in limited sample. The Celtics' 107 def rating ranks among the league's elite, creating a tough environment for scoring.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Devin Booker▼ | Points | 25.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 40 | ✓ |
Devin Booker▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0% | 2 | ✗ |
Devin Booker▼ | Assists | 5.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 6 | ✗ |
Booker's recent form (32.6 PPG last 5 games) is significantly above the line and carries strong momentum. While Boston's elite defense has historically suppressed him to 20.9 PPG in prior meetings, the combination of his current hot streak, fresh rest, and market pricing suggests value on the over despite the defensive challenge.
| low |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 10 | 71% | +11.6% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 1 | 4 | 5 | 67% | 67% |
| Derrick White | 1 | 3 | 6 | 67% | 100% |
| Payton Pritchard | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Hugo González | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Neemias Queta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Booker's 5-game average of 32.6 PPG significantly exceeds the line, and he's 3+ days removed from his last game (no fatigue). vs. Boston matchup history shows suppression, but recent hot streak suggests he'll beat market expectations.
Last 5 games average 2.6 threes; season average is 1.88. Boston's slight three-point suppression edge is minimal. Recent uptick in volume supports the over.
Last 5-game average is 4.9 APG, and Booker averages just 4.9 APG in away games historically. Boston's pace (100) and defensive structure may limit playmaking opportunities.