Grayson Allen▼

PHX · SF

PPG

17.3

RPG

3.0

APG

4.2

L5 PPG

15.6

Last 5 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.7

17.3

15.6

RPG-0.6

3.0

2.4

APG+2.0

4.2

6.2

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 5 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

18.5

SAC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAC: 18 pts

CHI

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs CHI: 21 pts

NOP

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NOP: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 12 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 15 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 5 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5

72%

AST

OVER 4.5

68%

REB

UNDER 3.5

65%

3PM

UNDER 3.3

62%

vs ??? (H2H)13 games

PPG

9.0

RPG

2.5

APG

1.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Duncan Robinson	2	10	70%	+19.5%	low
Bradley Beal	3	10	31%	-15.5%	medium
Cameron Johnson	3	8	38%	-15.5%	medium
Svi Mykhailiuk	3	8	63%

Allen Struggles Against Boston's Elite Defense After Recent Downturn

Grayson Allen is trending downward, averaging just 15.6 PPG over his last 5 games compared to 19.2 PPG in his last 10, signaling diminishing offensive production. Against Boston, the numbers are particularly concerning: he's shooting 40% FG and averaging only 9 PPG across 13 matchups while playing just 27.3 MPG. The Celtics' elite defense (107 DEF rating) combined with Derrick White's lockdown perimeter work (13 PPG allowed on 40% FG in 22+ minutes) presents a significant challenge for Allen's scoring upside in this road matchup.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.6(↓ from 17.3)

APG

6.2(↑ from 4.2)

vs BOS (career)

9.0(↓ from 9.0)

Key Matchup

Derrick White is the primary concern, having allowed just 13 PPG on 40% FG in 22+ minutes across recent matchups. White's elite perimeter defense paired with Boston's 107 DEF rating creates a hostile environment for Allen's outside scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Grayson Allen▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	80%	13	✓
Grayson Allen▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	2	✗
Grayson Allen▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	1	✓
Grayson Allen▼	3PM	3.3	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	2	✓

ML Scout Analysis

3PA10.5UNDER48%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

PRA26UNDER63%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

P+R20.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼

P+A22OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

PTS18UNDER29%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A7OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x11/2055%▼

REB3UNDER51%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

3PM3UNDER41%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

AST4UNDER42%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

STL1UNDER25%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)5/2025%▼

FTM3UNDER34%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 5x8/2040%▼

FTA4UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

Featured Pick

Grayson Allen

Points UNDER 18.5MEDIUM

Allen's 9 PPG average against Boston (40% FG) over 13 career games provides a strong historical floor. His recent 5-game slide to 15.6 PPG and away-game average of 16.38 PPG both undercut the 18.5 line. Derrick White's defensive track record compounds the downside risk despite Allen's season-long 17.3 PPG average.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Derrick White	2	4	3	33%	50%
Baylor Scheierman	2	4	10	100%	125%
Payton Pritchard	2	3	3	25%	38%
Hugo González	2	2	0	0%	0%
Ron Harper Jr.	1	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 18.572%HIGH

Allen averages just 9 PPG against Boston (40% FG) and only 16.38 PPG in away games. Derrick White's defensive presence limiting him to 13 PPG in matchups adds substantial headwind.

assistsOVER 4.568%MEDIUM

Allen's last-5 average of 6.2 APG significantly exceeds this line, and recent games show 6, 3, 8, 8, and 6 assists. Even on the road, his playmaking has remained consistent.

reboundsUNDER 3.565%MEDIUM

Allen's last-5 rebound average is 2.4 RPG, well below the line. Away games show 2.57 RPG average, and he's struggled on the glass in recent outings.

threesUNDER 3.362%MEDIUM

While season 3-point average is 3.3, his 35.4% three-point percentage combined with Boston's league-average three-point suppression (0.185) creates modest upside at this exact line.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS