F
Haywood Highsmith▼
PHX · F
PPG
4.7
RPG
2.3
APG
1.7
L5 PPG
7.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+2.5
4.7
7.2
RPG+0.7
2.3
3.0
APG+0.1
1.7
1.8
UNDER 8.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
8.5
10
NOP
2025-04-11
2025-04-11 vs NOP: 10 pts
12
WAS
2025-04-13
2025-04-13 vs WAS: 12 pts
3
CHA
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CHA: 3 pts
6
MIL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIL: 6 pts
5
TOR
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs TOR: 5 pts
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 8.5
68%
REB
OVER 3.5
62%
PRA
UNDER 13.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
7.7
RPG
4.3
APG
1.1
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 1 | 5 | 75% | +16.7% | low |
| Coby White | 1 | 3 | 0% | -50.0% | low |
| Brandon Ingram | 1 | 3 | 50% | +0.0% | low |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 2 | 0% |
Highsmith's Scoring Slump Continues Against Elite Celtics Defense
Haywood Highsmith is struggling in recent action, averaging just 4.7 PPG on the season with a downward trend despite playing 19 MPG in his last five games. Against Boston's elite defense (107 DEF rating), he faces a challenging matchup—historically he's averaged 7.7 PPG in nine games vs. the Celtics, but recent form suggests he'll fall short of that mark. With limited scoring consistency and facing potential defensive pressure from Jayson Tatum (who allows just 13.3% FG when guarding similar players), Highsmith projects as a role player looking for rebounds and efficiency rather than volume scoring.
Stat Trends
PPG
7.2(↓ from 4.7)
RPG
3.0(→ from 2.3)
Minutes
19.0(→ from 17.7)
Key Matchup
Jayson Tatum is the primary defender concern, allowing just 13.3% FG efficiency in his matchups. Boston's overall defense (107 DRTG) and three-point suppression (0.185) will limit Highsmith's scoring opportunities in a role-player capacity.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Haywood Highsmith▼ | Points | 8.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 16 | ✗ |
Haywood Highsmith▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
Haywood Highsmith▼ | PRA | 13.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 21 | ✗ |
pointsUNDER 8.568%MEDIUM
Highsmith's season average is 4.7 PPG with a downward trend. While he's at 7.2 in his last five, his last three games show 5, 6, and 3 points respectively—averaging just 4.7 PPG across that stretch.
ML Scout Analysis
PTS7.5UNDER20%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)1/425%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
REB2.8UNDER15%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)2/450%▼
AST1.5UNDER9%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)2/450%▼
3PM1.8UNDER9%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)2/450%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTA1.5UNDER10%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)2/450%▼
PRA11.8UNDER42%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)1/425%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
P+R10UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)1/425%▼
P+A9UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)1/425%▼
STL1UNDER37%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x1/425%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
3PA4.4UNDER47%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)1/425%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
FTM1.2UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)1/425%▼
R+A4OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)2/450%▼
Featured Pick
Haywood Highsmith
Points UNDER 8.5MEDIUM
Highsmith's downward trend and recent scoring output (5, 6, 3 PPG in last three games) suggest he'll struggle against elite Boston defense. His season average of 4.7 PPG and last-five average of 7.2 bracket expectations below this line, especially against a defensive unit that suppresses scoring efficiency.
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