SF
Jalen Green▲
PHX · SF
PPG
17.4
RPG
3.3
APG
2.5
L5 PPG
28.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+11.4
17.4
28.8
RPG+0.9
3.3
4.2
APG+1.1
2.5
3.6
OVER 12.5 PTS
Last 5 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
12.5
25
NOP
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs NOP: 25 pts
24
CHA
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CHA: 24 pts
25
MIL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIL: 25 pts
36
IND
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs IND: 36 pts
34
TOR
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs TOR: 34 pts
Over 12.5
Under 12.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 12.5
82%
AST
OVER 2.5
68%
REB
OVER 2.5
72%
3PM
OVER 2.5
55%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
19.2
RPG
3.8
APG
2.4
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley | 2 | 8 | 29% | -13.9% | low |
| Brandon Miller | 2 | 7 | 20% | -22.5% | low |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 6 | 33% | -9.2% | low |
| Sam Hauser | 2 | 6 | 0% |
Jalen Green's Scorching Form Faces Elite Celtics Defense in High-Stakes Matchup
Green has been exceptional over his last 5 games, averaging 28.8 PPG on elevated 32.6 MPG, with back-to-back 34+ point performances against Toronto and Indiana. However, he faces Boston's elite defense (107 DEFRTG) that has specifically limited him historically—his 9-game average against the Celtics is 19.2 PPG, notably below his current trajectory. The Celtics' defensive scheme, particularly through Derrick White (allowing 19 PPG but on 61.5% FG) and Sam Hauser (11 PPG allowed), presents a significant containment challenge despite Green's recent hot streak.
Stat Trends
PPG
28.8(↑ from 17.4)
Minutes
32.6(↑ from 24.6)
Assists
3.6(↑ from 2.5)
Three-Pointers
2.7(→ from 2.4)
Key Matchup
Derrick White will likely draw primary assignment on Green and has allowed 19 PPG to opposing wings, though on efficient 61.5% FG. Sam Hauser's defensive struggles (36.4% FG allowed) present a potential switch advantage if Green can create favorable positioning against Boston's perimeter rotation.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Green▼ | Points | 12.5 | OVER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 21 | ✓ |
Jalen Green▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 1 | ✗ |
Jalen Green▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 7 | ✓ |
Jalen Green▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0% | 1 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS18.5OVER10%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)OVER 2x14/2070%+18.5% edge▼
PRA25.5OVER19%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 2x14/2070%+15.0% edge▼
P+R25OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x12/2060%▼
P+A24.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼
R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼
3PM2.5UNDER17%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼
3PA7UNDER38%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼
REB4.5UNDER38%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼
AST3.5UNDER18%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼
STL1UNDER21%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)6/2030%▼
FTM2UNDER42%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼
FTA2UNDER27%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼
Featured Pick
Jalen Green
Points OVER 12.5HIGH
Green's 28.8 PPG average over his last 5 contests, combined with 32.6 minutes of elevated playing time and historical away-game scoring strength (19.88 PPG away), makes this line extremely exploitable. While Boston's defense presents legit resistance (he averaged 19.2 PPG in 9 prior matchups), his current form and role expansion suggest regression toward his last-5 mean is unlikely.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.