PF
Jayson Tatum▲
BOS · PF
PPG
19.8
RPG
8.5
APG
4.5
L5 PPG
19.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.8
19.8
19.0
RPG-0.1
8.5
8.4
APG+0.7
4.5
5.2
OVER 23.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
23.5
16
CHA
2025-04-11
2025-04-11 vs CHA: 16 pts
15
DAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs DAL: 15 pts
20
CLE
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CLE: 20 pts
24
SAS
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs SAS: 24 pts
20
WAS
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs WAS: 20 pts
Over 23.5
Under 23.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 23.5
78%
REB
OVER 8.5
72%
PRA
OVER 37.5
75%
vs ??? (H2H)8 games
PPG
23.1
RPG
7.0
APG
5.4
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins | 1 | 6 | 75% | +8.8% | low |
| Jaden McDaniels | 1 | 5 | 50% | +8.8% | low |
| Chet Holmgren | 1 | 5 | 50% | -7.9% | low |
| Taylor Hendricks | 1 | 5 | 67% |
Tatum Poised for Strong Output Against Suns' Vulnerable Defense
Jayson Tatum is trending upward with 22 PPG over his last 10 games and 19 PPG over his last 5, while maintaining elite rebounding (8.4 RPG) and playmaking (5.2 APG). The Suns' defense rates 111.16, allowing opponents to score efficiently, and Tatum has historically dominated this matchup, averaging 23.1 PPG across 8 games. Playing at home with 2 days rest, Tatum should see increased opportunities against Phoenix's primary defender Devin Booker, who allowed 8 points on 27% FG in limited matchup time.
Stat Trends
PPG
19.0(↑ from 19.8)
RPG
8.4(→ from 8.5)
APG
5.2(↑ from 4.5)
Key Matchup
Devin Booker is the primary defender but surrendered only 8 points on 27% FG in 6 minutes of matchup time—a small sample suggesting Tatum will likely face multiple Suns defenders. Phoenix's overall 111.16 defensive rating indicates systemic vulnerability that Tatum should exploit.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jayson Tatum▼ | Points | 23.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 20% | 21 | ✗ |
Jayson Tatum▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 7 | ✗ |
Jayson Tatum▼ | PRA | 37.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 | 20% | 32 | ✗ |
pointsOVER 23.578%
ML Scout Analysis
PRA36.5OVER19%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 6x7/1450%▼
PTS21.5OVER6%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼
AST4.5OVER51%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 6x8/1457%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
P+R31.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼
STL0.5OVER35%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/1471%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
R+A15.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x7/1450%▼
REB8.5UNDER16%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/1471%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.420; Scorecard changed -4.0▼
3PM3.5UNDER36%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)5/1436%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A26.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 5x6/1443%▼
Featured Pick
Jayson Tatum
Points OVER 23.5HIGH
Tatum has averaged 23.1 PPG against Phoenix historically and is trending upward with 22 PPG in his last 10 games. The Suns' porous defense (111.16 rating) and home court advantage for Boston make this a strong lean, especially with limited defensive intensity from Booker in prior matchups.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.