PF
Luka Garza▲
BOS · PF
PPG
7.3
RPG
3.8
APG
1.0
L5 PPG
8.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.1
7.3
8.4
RPG-2.0
3.8
1.8
APG+0.2
1.0
1.2
UNDER 8.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
8.5
10
DAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs DAL: 10 pts
7
CLE
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CLE: 7 pts
3
SAS
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs SAS: 3 pts
7
OKC
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs OKC: 7 pts
15
WAS
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs WAS: 15 pts
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 8.5
72%
REB
UNDER 5.5
68%
AST
UNDER 0.5
75%
PRA
UNDER 14.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)8 games
PPG
3.5
RPG
1.6
APG
0.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 3 | 10 | 57% | -1.2% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 10 | 40% | -18.3% | low |
| Jay Huff | 4 | 8 | 17% | -41.6% | medium |
| Ivica Zubac | 2 | 7 | 75% |
Garza Struggles Against Suns Despite Recent Uptick
Luka Garza is averaging just 3.5 PPG in 4.4 minutes per game across 8 matchups against Phoenix, a significant red flag despite his recent upward trend. While Garza has posted 8.4 PPG over his last 5 games with improved 18 MPG, he likely faces reduced minutes against a well-rested Suns team with a strong defensive profile (111.16 DRtg). The key defenders listed (Allen, O'Neale, Ighodaro) have minimal tracking data, but Phoenix's -0.961 scoring suppression indicates Garza will face tough perimeter-oriented defense that doesn't match his skill set.
Stat Trends
PPG
8.4(↑ from 7.3)
RPG
1.8(↓ from 3.8)
vs PHX (career)
(↓ from 3.5)
Key Matchup
Phoenix's defense ranks 111.16 DRtg with -0.961 scoring suppression and notably -1.647 three-point suppression. Garza's limited defensive tracking data from Suns key defenders (Allen, O'Neale, Ighodaro) combined with his historically poor output (3.5 PPG in 4.4 MPG) versus Phoenix suggests significant role limitation expected.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Garza▼ | Points | 8.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Luka Garza▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
Luka Garza▼ | Assists | 0.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 20% | 0 | ✓ |
Luka Garza▼ | PRA | 14.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 6 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
FTA2UNDER68%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x2/1712%▼
P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)7/1741%▼
P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)7/1741%▼
PTS7UNDER1%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)8/1747%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
3PM1UNDER35%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)4/1724%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA12OVER4%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)8/1747%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x6/1735%▼
REB3UNDER15%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)8/1747%▼
3PA2UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/1747%▼
FTM1UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/1747%▼
Featured Pick
Luka Garza
Points UNDER 8.5MEDIUM
Garza's season average (7.3 PPG) sits below this line, but his recent L5 spike to 8.4 PPG creates hedging concern. The decisive factor is his devastating 3.5 PPG across 8 career games vs Phoenix—a matchup historically problematic for him. Expect minutes management keeps him under.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.