Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Claxton | 3 | 19 | 43% | -21.9% | medium |
| Jalen Duren | 3 | 19 | 50% | -14.8% | medium |
| Bam Adebayo | 4 | 16 | 54% | -18.6% | medium |
| Andre Drummond | 4 | 15 | 86% |
Neemias Queta is trending upward with 11.4 PPG over his last 10 games and a dominant 24-point, 10-rebound performance against Washington on March 14th. However, his matchup history against Phoenix is concerning—he's averaged just 6.5 PPG on 13.3 minutes in four prior meetings, significantly below his season average of 10 PPG. The Suns' defense ranks 111.16 in defensive rating, and Queta will play at home where his scoring averages 10.83 PPG, providing modest uplift.
Queta has limited history against Phoenix's defense (just 1.6 minutes vs. Oso Ighodaro). However, the Suns' 111.16 defensive rating and -0.961 scoring suppression metric suggest middling defensive pressure, which could allow Queta to approach his season scoring average.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Neemias Queta▼ | Points | 10.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 5 | ✗ |
Neemias Queta▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 3 | ✗ |
Neemias Queta▼ | PRA | 20.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 14 | ✗ |
Queta's last-5 average of 10.0 RPG and last-10 average of 8.8 RPG indicate strong recent rebounding form. His home court splits (8.73 home mean) combined with lack of back-to-back fatigue make the over on rebounds his most reliable prop at home against a middle-tier defensive unit.
| medium |
| Jusuf Nurkić | 2 | 14 | 54% | -11.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oso Ighodaro | 2 | 9 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Mark Williams | 1 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Khaman Maluach | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Devin Booker | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Jalen Green | 2 | 1 | 11 | 50% | 56% |
Queta's recent form (11.4 PPG last 10 games, 10.6 last 5) pushes him slightly above season average, but prior meetings with Phoenix show suppressed output at just 6.5 PPG.
Last 5 games averaging 10.0 RPG and last 10 at 8.8 RPG. Home game boosts rebound potential (8.73 home mean), and he's cleared from injury.
Recent combined PPG + RPG + APG trends above this line (10.6 + 10.0 + 1.0 = 21.6 last 5), though assists remain low at 1.0 APG recently.