Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić | 3 | 15 | 75% | +4.6% | medium |
| Jaxson Hayes | 4 | 13 | 0% | -65.4% | medium |
| Rudy Gobert | 3 | 10 | 80% | +14.6% | medium |
| Deandre Ayton | 4 | 10 | 100% |
Oso Ighodaro enters this matchup against Boston with a concerning downward trend, averaging just 6.8 PPG over his last 5 games despite increased minutes (25 MPG). The Celtics' elite defense (107 DEF rating, -1.924 scoring suppression) will present a difficult challenge for a player shooting only 46.7% from the free throw line. In 3 prior meetings, Ighodaro has averaged 7.3 PPG and 4 RPG across 25.7 minutes, but recent form suggests further decline is likely.
Derrick White has logged 3.3 minutes against Ighodaro historically, allowing 0 points on 0% shooting. While limited data, White's defensive versatility poses a challenge. Overall, Boston's top-5 defense will make life difficult for a bench center in a declining trend.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oso Ighodaro▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
Oso Ighodaro▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 4 | ✗ |
Oso Ighodaro▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 8 | ✓ |
Oso Ighodaro▼ | PRA | 10.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 0% | 16 | ✗ |
Ighodaro's last 5-game PPG of 6.8 is only marginally above this line, and his recent form shows volatility (2 to 13 PPG range). Boston's elite defense with -1.924 scoring suppression creates unfavorable conditions. The combination of poor free throw shooting (46.7%) and defensive pressure suggests he struggles to consistently clear 5.5 points.
| medium |
| Neemias Queta | 2 | 10 | 50% | -15.4% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neemias Queta | 2 | 10 | 3 | 50% | 50% |
| Nikola Vučević | 1 | 6 | 6 | 33% | 33% |
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 2 | 5 | 25% | 31% |
| Derrick White | 2 | 1 | 5 | 67% | 83% |
| Jaylen Brown | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20% | 30% |
Recent 5-game average of 6.8 PPG is barely above the line. Boston's suffocating defense ranks elite at -1.924 scoring suppression, and Ighodaro's poor free throw shooting (46.7%) limits his upside.
Ighodaro's rebounding has been consistent, averaging 5.7 RPG over last 10 games and 5.0 over last 5 games. His 4.79 season mean with elevated recent production supports clearing this modest threshold.
Recent 5-game average of 2.4 APG exceeds the line, and his last 10-game average sits at 3.0 APG. Increased minutes (25 MPG recently vs 21 season avg) support more playmaking opportunities.
Combined projection of 6.8 PPG + 2.4 APG + 5.0 RPG totals approximately 14.2, but this includes his elevated assist numbers. Boston's defense will likely suppress point production, and combined output may struggle to reach 10.5.