PG
Payton Pritchard—
BOS · PG
PPG
16.6
RPG
4.1
APG
5.3
L5 PPG
10.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-5.8
16.6
10.8
RPG-0.1
4.1
4.0
APG-1.1
5.3
4.2
UNDER 17.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
17.5
0
CHA
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs CHA: 0 pts
18
DAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs DAL: 18 pts
18
CLE
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CLE: 18 pts
14
OKC
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs OKC: 14 pts
4
WAS
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs WAS: 4 pts
Over 17.5
Under 17.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 17.5
72%
AST
UNDER 5.5
68%
REB
UNDER 4.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)11 games
PPG
7.6
RPG
3.0
APG
1.8
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson | 4 | 26 | 63% | -4.5% | medium |
| Andrew Nembhard | 4 | 19 | 46% | -10.5% | medium |
| VJ Edgecombe | 4 | 13 | 61% | +9.4% | medium |
| Norman Powell | 3 | 13 | 55% |
Pritchard Struggles in Matchup vs. Suns Despite Home Court
Payton Pritchard's recent form has been inconsistent, averaging just 10.8 PPG over his last 5 games compared to 16.6 season average—a significant 5.8 PPG decline. His matchup history against Phoenix is particularly concerning, posting just 7.6 PPG on only 19.5 MPG in 11 previous meetings, suggesting limited offensive opportunities in this series. The Suns' defense ranks 111.16 in defensive rating with notable three-suppression (-1.647), and Grayson Allen has held Pritchard to just 2 points on 25% FG in 8.7 minutes of recent defensive assignments.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.8(↓ from 16.6)
APG
4.2(↓ from 5.3)
vs PHX (career)
7.6(→ from 7.6)
Key Matchup
Grayson Allen has held Pritchard to 2 points on 25% FG in defensive assignments, while Pritchard's 11-game history vs. Phoenix shows just 7.6 PPG on limited 19.5 MPG, indicating Phoenix's defense effectively suppresses his scoring and involvement.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payton Pritchard▼ | Points | 17.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 19 | ✗ |
Payton Pritchard▼ | Assists | 5.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 6 | ✗ |
Payton Pritchard▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
pointsUNDER 17.5
ML Scout Analysis
PTS16.5UNDER30%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA22.5UNDER18%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
P+A20OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
REB2.5UNDER2%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)13/2065%▼
R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)11/2055%▼
P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼
AST4.5UNDER18%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼
3PM2.5OVER10%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.163; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
3PA6UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTM0.5UNDER27%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
FTA0.5UNDER14%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
Featured Pick
Payton Pritchard
Points UNDER 17.5MEDIUM
Pritchard's 10.8 PPG over last 5 games combined with his 7.6 career PPG against Phoenix creates a compelling case for the under. The Suns' defense (111.16 rating) and specific matchup history with Grayson Allen further support limited offensive output.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.