Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 6 | 50% | -7.2% | low |
| Pete Nance | 2 | 5 | 150% | +59.5% | low |
| Zion Williamson | 3 | 4 | 100% | +59.5% | medium |
| Kenrich Williams | 2 | 4 | 0% |
Rasheer Fleming has been a spark plug recently, averaging 7.4 PPG and 4.2 RPG over his last 5 games with 20 minutes per contest—a dramatic uptick from his 3.5 PPG season average. The trend is down overall, but his recent production suggests increased playing time and opportunity in a rotation role. Tonight against Boston's elite defense (107 DEF rating, -1.924 scoring suppression), Fleming faces a stiff test despite prior success against this opponent (21 minutes, 2 rebounds in one matchup).
Payton Pritchard has limited Fleming to 0 FG% across 3.3 minutes in prior meetings. However, Fleming's recent resurgence and increased role (20 MPG vs. 10.1 season average) suggests deeper rotation involvement that may circumvent individual defenders.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasheer Fleming▼ | Points | 6.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
Rasheer Fleming▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Rasheer Fleming▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
Fleming's last 5-game rebound average of 4.2 and last 10-game average of 3.9 support this prop, especially with elevated playing time around 20 minutes. Boston's defense is elite, but Fleming's role appears defined as a rebounder/floor spacer, giving him multiple opportunities to contribute on the glass.
| low |
| Luka Dončić | 1 | 3 | 33% | -7.2% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 6 | 7 | 33% | 50% |
| Baylor Scheierman | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Neemias Queta | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Derrick White | 2 | 1 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Jordan Walsh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Despite recent 7.4 PPG over last 5 games, Boston's defensive suppression (-1.924) and elite rating (107) will likely limit Fleming's efficiency. His season 3.5 PPG with 10.1 MPG usage suggests regression toward the mean is likely.
Fleming has averaged 4.2 RPG in his last 5 games and 3.9 over last 10, with strong away performance at 2.44 RPG. At 20 MPG recently, he's positioned to clear this mark against Boston's pace (100).
Fleming is shooting 1.6 threes per game over last 5 contests with a 35.4% season three-point percentage. Boston suppresses threes marginally (+0.185), but his recent usage supports a slight edge here.