PF
Royce O'Neale▲
PHX · PF
PPG
10.0
RPG
4.9
APG
2.8
L5 PPG
11.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.2
10.0
11.2
RPG+0.5
4.9
5.4
APG-0.2
2.8
2.6
UNDER 9.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
9.5
11
NOP
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs NOP: 11 pts
3
CHA
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs CHA: 3 pts
21
MIL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIL: 21 pts
15
IND
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs IND: 15 pts
6
TOR
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs TOR: 6 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 9.5
68%
REB
OVER 4.5
72%
AST
UNDER 3.5
66%
3PM
UNDER 2.75
62%
vs ??? (H2H)15 games
PPG
6.7
RPG
4.7
APG
2.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins | 4 | 15 | 42% | -0.3% | medium |
| DeMar DeRozan | 4 | 15 | 73% | +30.7% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 3 | 13 | 22% | -19.8% | medium |
| LeBron James | 4 | 12 | 32% |
O'Neale Faces Elite Boston Defense After Hot Streak
Royce O'Neale has shown positive momentum with a 11.2 PPG average over his last 5 games, highlighted by a 21-point outing vs Milwaukee on March 10th. However, he's averaging just 6.7 PPG across 15 career matchups against Boston, and faces a Celtics defense allowing only 46 and 27 points to opposing players on his primary defenders Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum respectively. The matchup setup is challenging: O'Neale typically scores 9.78 PPG on the road (this is an away game), and Boston's defense rates 107th in efficiency with a -1.92 scoring suppression factor.
Stat Trends
PPG
11.2(↑ from 10.0)
RPG
5.4(↑ from 4.9)
3P%
2.7(→ from 0.4)
Key Matchup
O'Neale will primarily face Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum defensively. Against these two combined, Brown has allowed 46 points on 50% FG and Tatum 27 points on 57% FG, indicating a disciplined defensive approach that typically results in contested opportunities rather than volume scoring chances.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Royce O'Neale▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 6 | ✓ |
Royce O'Neale▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
Royce O'Neale▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Royce O'Neale▼ | 3PM | 2.75 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
3PM1.5UNDER19%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x15/2075%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.375; Scorecard changed +2.0▼
PTS6.5UNDER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
REB3.5OVER35%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%+15.0% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.369▼
PRA14.5UNDER22%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼
P+A10.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
AST2UNDER27%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
3PA6UNDER30%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
R+A7OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
Featured Pick
Royce O'Neale
Rebounds OVER 4.5MEDIUM
O'Neale has recorded 5.4 RPG over his last 5 games and maintains a season average of 4.93. His away-game rebounding average of 5.06 aligns with exceeding the line, and Boston's defense (107th rated) doesn't specifically suppress glass work. This offers better value than fighting Boston's elite perimeter defense on scoring props.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.