Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 3 | 12 | 50% | -3.3% | medium |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 4 | 11 | 75% | +8.2% | medium |
| Cooper Flagg | 2 | 9 | 33% | -8.5% | low |
| Andrew Wiggins | 3 | 7 | 61% |
Sam Hauser enters with stable form, averaging 9.5 PPG over his last 10 games while posting 10.4 PPG in his last 5. However, his season matchup vs Phoenix is concerning—he's averaged just 7.0 PPG across 7 prior meetings. The Suns' defense features strong perimeter coverage with Royce O'Neale holding opponents to 0 PPG in limited matchup time, and Phoenix suppresses three-point shooting at -1.647 efficiency compared to league average, which directly impacts Hauser's 38.8% three-point diet.
Royce O'Neale has held opponents to 0 PPG in 6.2 minutes of prior matchup time, and Phoenix's defense suppresses three-point efficiency by 1.647 points below league average—a direct threat to Hauser's primary scoring mechanism. His historical 7.0 PPG average vs the Suns underscores the defensive challenge.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Hauser▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Sam Hauser▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 4 | ✗ |
Sam Hauser▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Sam Hauser▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 0 | ✓ |
Hauser's season-long matchup data (7.0 PPG over 7 games) substantially undercuts the 10.5 line, and Phoenix's elite perimeter defense with strong three-point suppression limits his scoring upside. Recent home-court efficiency (8.27 PPG at home vs 10.26 away) also slightly favors the under despite playing at Boston.
| medium |
| AJ Green | 3 | 7 | 0% | -41.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green | 2 | 4 | 4 | 40% | 40% |
| Royce O'Neale | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 2 | 9 | 75% | 113% |
| Amir Coffey | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Devin Booker | 1 | 2 | 13 | 100% | 113% |
Hauser averages just 7.0 PPG in 7 prior meetings vs Phoenix. While his last-5 average is 10.4, the historical matchup data and Suns' three-point suppression (-1.647) present a significant ceiling for his scoring.
Hauser's last-5 rebound average of 5.2 RPG exceeds this line, and he's posted 26.8 MPG recently. His away performance (4.56 RPG) plus recent uptick to 4.8 RPG makes this a lean over.
Season assist mean of 1.48 and recent mean of 1.3 both sit right at or below this line. Limited ball-handling role keeps upside capped.
Recent mean of 2.6 threes is marginally above the line, but Phoenix's strong three-point suppression (-1.647) and Hauser's 19.1 MPG in prior matchups vs them suggest regression.