SF
Deni Avdija▲
POR · SF
PPG
24.2
RPG
6.9
APG
6.8
L5 PPG
16.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-7.8
24.2
16.4
RPG-2.7
6.9
4.2
APG-0.4
6.8
6.4
OVER 21.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
21.5
0
PHX
2026-02-22
2026-02-22 vs PHX: 0 pts
18
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 18 pts
22
CHA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHA: 22 pts
17
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 17 pts
25
PHI
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs PHI: 25 pts
Over 21.5
Under 21.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 21.5
68%
AST
OVER 6.5
72%
REB
UNDER 6.5
65%
3PM
OVER 1.5
62%
vs ??? (H2H)15 games
PPG
10.3
RPG
6.0
APG
2.2
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington | 3 | 16 | 72% | +10.1% | medium |
| Cameron Johnson | 4 | 16 | 59% | +9.0% | medium |
| Saddiq Bey | 3 | 14 | 50% | -1.8% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 3 | 14 | 35% |
Avdija's Scoring Slump Meets Favorable Matchup in Back-to-Back
Deni Avdija is in a significant scoring decline, averaging just 16.2 PPG over his last 10 games compared to his season average of 24.2 PPG, despite maintaining solid all-around production with 6.2 APG and 6.1 RPG. However, he's on a back-to-back where his season metrics show 26.71 PPG, suggesting elevated scoring potential when games are compressed. Playing at Brooklyn, a bottom-5 defensive unit (115.61 DEF rating), provides a favorable opportunity to shake off his recent scoring struggles in an away game where he'll face reduced minutes (27.3 recent average) but better offensive flow.
Stat Trends
PPG
16.4(↓ from 24.2)
APG
6.4(→ from 6.8)
RPG
4.2(↓ from 6.9)
Key Matchup
Nic Claxton is the primary defender on available data with minimal sample (8.9 minutes), but Brooklyn's overall defensive rating of 115.61 ranks among league worst. This represents a favorable scoring environment for Avdija despite his recent output decline.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deni Avdija▼ | Points | 21.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 18 | ✗ |
Deni Avdija▼ | Assists | 6.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 5 | ✗ |
Deni Avdija▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 6 | ✓ |
Deni Avdija▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 1 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A28UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼
PTS20UNDER14%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼
AST7UNDER15%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x7/1937%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
3PM1UNDER34%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)6/1932%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PA5UNDER48%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x8/1942%▼
FTM8UNDER23%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼
FTA10UNDER8%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼
PRA35UNDER39%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x9/1947%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
R+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)9/1947%▼
P+R27.5UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼
REB6UNDER14%gbt_reboundsAvoid (5/20)8/1942%▼
Featured Pick
Deni Avdija
Assists OVER 6.5MEDIUM
Avdija's season assists average of 6.78 and recent stability at 6.4 APG provide a strong baseline. Back-to-back games historically show 8 APG, and Brooklyn's defensive weaknesses should create additional facilitation opportunities for a ball-moving forward in a positive game flow.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.