Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III | 3 | 12 | 67% | +21.2% | medium |
| Julius Randle | 4 | 11 | 50% | -8.0% | medium |
| GG Jackson | 3 | 10 | 45% | -9.1% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 4 | 10 | 90% |
Jerami Grant is averaging 19.8 PPG over his last 10 games with increased minutes (32.6 MPG recently vs. 29.9 season avg), but his overall trend is down and Portland is on a back-to-back. Historically, Grant has performed well against Brooklyn, averaging 20 PPG on 36.9 MPG across 9 matchups. However, Brooklyn's elite defense (115.61 DEF RTG, 6.8% scoring suppression) and the fatigue factor from back-to-back play should temper expectations. Grant's recent game log shows volatility (9-24 PPG range), making consistency difficult to project.
Nic Claxton has limited defensive data against Grant (3.8 minutes, allowing only 4 points on perfect FG%), but Brooklyn's overall defense ranks elite at 115.61 DEF RTG with strong three-suppression (2.176). Grant's playmaking and rebounding could be impacted by Brooklyn's defensive intensity.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jerami Grant▼ | Points | 20.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 12 | ✗ |
Jerami Grant▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 0% | 2 | ✗ |
Jerami Grant▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 4 | ✗ |
Jerami Grant▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 5 | ✗ |
Grant has shot 2.9 threes per game over his last 5 with a 39.5% season three-point percentage. His offensive role on a back-to-back likely emphasizes perimeter shooting, making this the most reliable prop on the slate despite Brooklyn's general defensive strength.
| medium |
| Rui Hachimura | 3 | 9 | 75% | +17.0% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Powell | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Danny Wolf | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Ben Saraf | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| E.J. Liddell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Chaney Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Grant's 20 PPG career average vs. Brooklyn provides support, and recent 10-game average of 19.8 is near the line. However, back-to-back fatigue and elite Nets defense limit upside to slight edge only.
Grant's last-5 average of 2.9 threes and season-long 39.5% three-point shooting suggest he clears this line. Recent form shows consistent three-point volume.
Last-5 rebounding average of 2.4 is well below the line. Despite career 4.1 RPG vs. Brooklyn, recent games show significant decline in rebound production.
Last-5 assists average of 1.4 is below the line, though career vs. Brooklyn sits at 2.6 APG. Back-to-back play and recent assist decline make this lean slightly under.