PG
Scoot Henderson▲
POR · PG
PPG
13.8
RPG
2.9
APG
4.0
L5 PPG
17.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+3.2
13.8
17.0
RPG-0.1
2.9
2.8
APG-1.2
4.0
2.8
OVER 16.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
16.5
4
HOU
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs HOU: 4 pts
28
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 28 pts
17
CHA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHA: 17 pts
25
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts
11
PHI
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts
Over 16.5
Under 16.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 16.5
68%
AST
UNDER 3.5
72%
3PM
UNDER 2
65%
vs ??? (H2H)4 games
PPG
17.0
RPG
3.3
APG
5.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun | 3 | 10 | 58% | +8.2% | medium |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 3 | 8 | 75% | +24.9% | medium |
| VJ Edgecombe | 2 | 7 | 20% | -21.8% | low |
| Javon Small | 2 | 5 | 50% |
Henderson Heating Up Against Nets Defense, Back-to-Back Fatigue a Factor
Scoot Henderson has been on an upward trend, averaging 17.0 PPG over his last 5 games with a standout 28-point performance against Indiana on March 8th. However, Portland is on a back-to-back situation, and Henderson's away splits show significant regression—dropping to 10.89 PPG on the road compared to 17.57 at home. While Brooklyn's defense rates poorly (115.61 DEF rating) and Henderson averages 17 PPG in 4 prior meetings, the travel fatigue and away-game struggles present meaningful headwinds.
Stat Trends
PPG
17.0(↑ from 13.8)
APG
2.8(↓ from 4.0)
3P Made
1.9(→ from 1.9)
Key Matchup
Ziaire Williams has limited defensive action (2.1 minutes) against Henderson historically, allowing 6 points on 100% FG in minimal sample. Brooklyn's overall weak perimeter defense (three suppression of 2.176) should allow opportunity, but Portland's back-to-back fatigue after playing Philadelphia yesterday dampens upside.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scoot Henderson▼ | Points | 16.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 16 | ✗ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 4 | ✗ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | 3PM | 2 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 2 | ✗ |
points
ML Scout Analysis
P+A17.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼
R+A6UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
P+R17UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼
Featured Pick
Scoot Henderson
Points OVER 16.5MEDIUM
Henderson's recent 17.0 PPG average and superior performance vs. Brooklyn (17 PPG in 4 prior meetings) support the over. However, the back-to-back situation combined with his significant away-game regression (10.89 PPG on road vs. 17.57 at home) introduces material risk. The weak Nets defense offers an edge, but fatigue could limit his aggression in the second night of a back-to-back.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.