SF
Ziaire Williams▼
BKN · SF
PPG
9.7
RPG
2.4
APG
1.0
L5 PPG
14.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+5.1
9.7
14.8
RPG-0.2
2.4
2.2
APG+1.0
1.0
2.0
OVER 11.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
11.5
16
MIA
2026-03-03
2026-03-03 vs MIA: 16 pts
15
MIA
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs MIA: 15 pts
23
DET
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs DET: 23 pts
11
MEM
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs MEM: 11 pts
9
PHI
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs PHI: 9 pts
Over 11.5
Under 11.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 11.5
72%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
68%
AST
OVER 1.5
65%
REB
UNDER 2.5
60%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
7.9
RPG
3.9
APG
0.9
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 10 | 40% | -2.5% | medium |
| James Harden | 3 | 9 | 33% | -9.2% | medium |
| Jalen Brunson | 3 | 8 | 64% | +12.0% | medium |
| Anfernee Simons | 4 | 8 | 44% |
Williams Rides Home Court Advantage Against Porous Portland Defense
Ziaire Williams is showing positive momentum in his last five games, averaging 14.8 PPG compared to his season average of 9.7 PPG, though the trend has dipped slightly in the last 10 games (10.6 PPG). Playing at home against Portland's 117.69 defensive rating, Williams has historically thrived in Brooklyn, posting 10.67 PPG at home versus 8.74 PPG on the road. Portland's three-point suppression rate of 88.9% is elite, but their overall defensive vulnerability should allow Williams to find scoring opportunities given his improved recent form and starting role.
Stat Trends
PPG
14.8(↓ from 9.7)
3P Per Game
1.8(↑ from 1.6)
Assists Per Game
2.0(↑ from 1.0)
Key Matchup
Toumani Camara has primary responsibility on Williams and has limited him to just 3 points on 25% FG in 7.2 minutes of prior matchups. However, Jerami Grant's limited availability and Donovan Clingan's minimal playing time suggest Williams should see favorable scoring opportunities otherwise.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ziaire Williams▼ | Points | 11.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 7 | ✗ |
Ziaire Williams▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Ziaire Williams▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Ziaire Williams▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PRA18.5UNDER34%gbt_praDecent Leg (15/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
FTM2.5UNDER21%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼
STL1.5UNDER31%gbt_stealsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
FTA3UNDER19%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
P+A13OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
PTS11UNDER17%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
AST1UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
3PM1UNDER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
3PA3UNDER5%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
P+R14OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼
REB2OVER19%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Ziaire Williams
Points OVER 11.5MEDIUM
Williams' last-5 average of 14.8 PPG significantly exceeds this line, and Brooklyn's home court has been a strength (10.67 PPG average). Portland's weak defensive rating provides opportunity, though Camara's past effectiveness and Portland's three-point suppression present some risk to volume.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.