SF
Bennedict Mathurin—
LAC · SF
PPG
18.6
RPG
5.6
APG
2.3
L5 PPG
24.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+5.6
18.6
24.2
RPG+0.6
5.6
6.2
APG-0.7
2.3
1.6
OVER 16.5 PTS
Last 5 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
16.5
21
MEM
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MEM: 21 pts
28
NYK
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs NYK: 28 pts
22
MIN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs MIN: 22 pts
26
CHI
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CHI: 26 pts
24
SAC
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs SAC: 24 pts
Over 16.5
Under 16.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 16.5
78%
REB
OVER 5.5
72%
AST
UNDER 1.5
68%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)8 games
PPG
12.9
RPG
3.6
APG
1.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | 4 | 17 | 80% | +36.4% | medium |
| Kyshawn George | 2 | 9 | 57% | -0.7% | low |
| Russell Westbrook | 2 | 9 | 93% | +27.8% | low |
| Stephon Castle | 4 | 9 | 58% |
Mathurin Primed for Strong Performance Against Spurs Defense
Bennedict Mathurin is in excellent form, averaging 24.2 PPG over his last 5 games with a stable trend. He's facing a San Antonio defense ranked 111.83 in defensive rating with weak scoring suppression (-0.806), creating a favorable matchup. Historically against the Spurs, Mathurin has underperformed at 12.9 PPG across 8 matchups, but his recent scorching form suggests a bounce-back game at home where he averages 19.4 PPG. With 2 days rest and no back-to-back fatigue, conditions are optimal for an above-season-average output.
Stat Trends
PPG
24.2(↑ from 18.6)
RPG
6.2(↑ from 5.6)
APG
1.6(↓ from 2.3)
Key Matchup
Devin Vassell has been the primary defender in previous meetings (6.6 minutes), holding Mathurin to 8 points on 30% FG. However, Mathurin's recent scoring surge and improved shot selection suggest better success against the Spurs' perimeter defense this time.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bennedict Mathurin▼ | Points | 16.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 100% | 16 | ✗ |
Bennedict Mathurin▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 80% | 4 | ✗ |
Bennedict Mathurin▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Bennedict Mathurin▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 100% | 0 | ✓ |
pointsOVER 16.578%HIGH
Mathurin is averaging 24.2 PPG in his last 5 games and 19.2 PPG over last 10. At home he averages 19.4 PPG. San Antonio's defense allows scoring at a -0.806 suppression rate, well below league average.
reboundsOVER 5.572%HIGH
Mathurin is averaging 6.2 RPG in his last 5 games and 6.0 RPG over last 10, consistently above the 5.5 line. His season home average is 5.96 RPG with minimal variance.
assists
ML Scout Analysis
PTS16.5OVER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)14/2070%+13.1% edge▼
REB4.5OVER29%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 2x15/2075%+14.7% edge▼
PRA24.5OVER11%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)13/2065%+12.6% edge▼
P+R25OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
P+A21.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼
3PA3UNDER53%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 6x9/2045%▼
FTM7UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼
AST2UNDER15%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
FTA8UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
Bennedict Mathurin
Points OVER 16.5HIGH
Mathurin's last 5 games (24.2 PPG) represent a dramatic uptick from season average (18.6 PPG), and he faces a bottom-tier defensive team (111.83 rating). At home with full rest, the combination of elite recent form and favorable matchup makes an over-16.5 line a strong play. His historical underperformance vs. San Antonio appears outdated given his current trajectory.
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