Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams | 4 | 18 | 55% | -2.9% | medium |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 3 | 14 | 50% | -10.9% | medium |
| Collin Gillespie | 3 | 13 | 61% | -4.0% | medium |
| Anthony Edwards | 3 | 12 | 67% |
De'Aaron Fox enters this matchup with strong recent form, averaging 21.6 PPG over his last 5 games with uptick in assists (8.2 APG). Critically, Fox has dominated the Clippers historically, posting 26.7 PPG across 16 head-to-head matchups. LA's defense ranks 112.71 in defensive rating with -0.603 scoring suppression, making them vulnerable to Fox's elite scoring. With 33.6 MPG in recent play and no back-to-back fatigue, Fox should capitalize on this soft matchup.
Kris Dunn has logged 9.1 minutes vs Fox historically, allowing only 3 points on 50% FG—limited sample size but positive. However, Clippers' overall defensive scheme (112.71 rating, -0.603 scoring suppression) provides Fox ample scoring opportunities in this away game.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
De'Aaron Fox▼ | Points | 17.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 18 | ✓ |
De'Aaron Fox▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 6 | ✓ |
De'Aaron Fox▼ | PRA | 23.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 27 | ✓ |
De'Aaron Fox▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Fox's last 5-game average (21.6 PPG) sits 4.1 points above the line. His 26.7 PPG career average vs LA, combined with the Clippers' weak defensive infrastructure (112.71 rating), makes this a premium value. Recent form and historical dominance create a strong case for an easy cover.
| medium |
| Cason Wallace | 5 | 12 | 69% | +13.1% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Dunn | 3 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 25% |
| Darius Garland | 2 | 5 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
| Brook Lopez | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jordan Miller | 3 | 3 | 6 | 60% | 60% |
Fox averages 21.6 PPG over last 5 games and 26.7 PPG historically vs LA. Clippers' weak defensive rating (112.71) and scoring suppression (-0.603) create ideal conditions for Fox to exceed this modest line.
Fox's recent average of 8.2 APG vastly exceeds the 5.5 line. His home performance averages 6.75 APG, and recent games show consistent 9+ assist outings.
With 21.6 PPG + 8.2 APG + 3.2 RPG in recent stretch, Fox's combined total reaches ~33 PPG, comfortably exceeding 23.5.
Fox's recent 5-game average sits at 3.2 RPG, below the 3.5 line. As a guard, rebound volume remains limited despite home court advantage (3.25 home avg).