Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 3 | 18 | 48% | -0.0% | medium |
| Saddiq Bey | 4 | 16 | 36% | -16.9% | medium |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 3 | 14 | 38% | -7.0% | medium |
| Rui Hachimura | 3 | 11 | 42% |
Harrison Barnes has seen a significant dip in production over his last 5 games, averaging just 7.2 PPG on 20.6 MPG compared to his season average of 10.3 PPG in 26.9 minutes. The Clippers' elite defense (112.71 rating) poses a stiff challenge, particularly with Kawhi Leonard's versatility. Barnes' away scoring average of 9.31 PPG falls well short of the 7.5-point line, and recent volatility—ranging from 2 points vs. CHA to 20 vs. DEN—suggests inconsistency heading into this road contest.
Kawhi Leonard has logged 38.6 minutes against Barnes' team and allowed 45 points on 57.1% FG—elite perimeter defense will pressure Barnes' shot-making. The Clippers' three-point suppression (+1.055) also limits Barnes' reliable 38% three-point stroke.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harrison Barnes▼ | Points | 7.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 8 | ✗ |
Harrison Barnes▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 3 | ✗ |
Harrison Barnes▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Barnes' last 5 PPG of 7.2 combined with his away scoring average of 9.31 PPG and the Clippers' elite defensive rating (112.71) creates a ceiling near the line itself. Recent volatility and reduced minutes trending downward further support the under, though his season history vs. LAC (10.94 PPG in 17 games) provides some upside noise.
| medium |
| Chet Holmgren | 4 | 11 | 67% | +21.2% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Miller | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Nicolas Batum | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| John Collins | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 2 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 33% |
| Kobe Sanders | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 38% |
Barnes' last 5 average of 7.2 PPG is barely above the line. Away scoring of 9.31 PPG + elite Clippers defense (112.71 rating) + recent game volatility (2-20 pts range) suggests continued underperformance.
Last 5 average of 2.6 RPG sits just above the line. Away rebounding average of 2.78 RPG combined with reduced playing time (20.6 vs 26.9 season) makes this a toss-up leaning under.
Season assist average of 2.03 and last 10 of 1.7 slightly exceed the 1.5 line. Home/away splits (1.97 away) provide minimal edge, but accumulated volume suggests slight over lean.