PF
John Collins—
LAC · PF
PPG
13.7
RPG
5.1
APG
0.9
L5 PPG
12.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-1.7
13.7
12.0
RPG+0.7
5.1
5.8
APG+0.3
0.9
1.2
OVER 12.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
12.5
12
HOU
2026-02-11
2026-02-11 vs HOU: 12 pts
11
DEN
2026-02-19
2026-02-19 vs DEN: 11 pts
12
LAL
2026-02-20
2026-02-20 vs LAL: 12 pts
15
NOP
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs NOP: 15 pts
10
SAC
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs SAC: 10 pts
Over 12.5
Under 12.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 12.5
65%
REB
OVER 4.5
72%
PRA
OVER 16.5
68%
AST
OVER 0.5
58%
vs ??? (H2H)12 games
PPG
14.3
RPG
7.3
APG
1.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 3 | 13 | 50% | -22.1% | medium |
| Royce O'Neale | 4 | 10 | 63% | -13.7% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 2 | 10 | 20% | -35.4% | low |
| Dominick Barlow | 2 | 10 | 80% |
Collins Eyes Rebound Bounce-Back Against Spurs' Soft Interior
John Collins has been stable this season at 13.7 PPG and 5.1 RPG, but his last 5 games show a slight scoring dip (12 PPG) despite solid rebounding (5.8 RPG). Against San Antonio in 12 career matchups, Collins has averaged 14.25 PPG and 7.33 RPG—both above his season norms. The Spurs' defense rates at 111.83 (league average), and Collins is well-rested with 2 days recovery, creating a favorable setup for an above-average rebounding performance.
Stat Trends
PPG
12.0(↓ from 13.7)
RPG
5.8(→ from 5.1)
vs Spurs (Career)
7.3(↑ from 14.3)
Key Matchup
Julian Champagnie is San Antonio's primary defender matched against Collins (7.6 min played) and has allowed 19 points on 53.8% FG. Victor Wembanyama (6.1 min) allowed 12 points on 57.1% FG. Collins' strong 55.6% season shooting and 42.3% from three should find success against these matchups.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Collins▼ | Points | 12.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 11 | ✗ |
John Collins▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 9 | ✓ |
John Collins▼ | PRA | 16.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 24 | ✓ |
John Collins▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 4 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS12.5OVER9%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 4x12/2060%+10.5% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
PRA19.5OVER31%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 4x13/2065%+14.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
REB6.5UNDER34%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 7x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 7x8/2040%▼
P+R20.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 4x12/2060%▼
P+A15.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
3PM1.5UNDER30%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)5/2025%▼
Featured Pick
John Collins
Rebounds OVER 4.5MEDIUM
Collins averages 7.33 RPG in 12 career games vs San Antonio, well above the 4.5 line. His recent 5-game average of 5.8 RPG shows consistent activity, and he's fully healthy with good rest. The Spurs' average defensive rating and Collins' role as starter create favorable rebounding opportunities.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.