SG
Jordan Miller▲
LAC · SG
PPG
9.3
RPG
2.9
APG
2.1
L5 PPG
10.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+0.7
9.3
10.0
RPG-1.5
2.9
1.4
APG+0.9
2.1
3.0
UNDER 9.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
9.5
14
MEM
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MEM: 14 pts
2
NYK
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs NYK: 2 pts
14
MIN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs MIN: 14 pts
14
CHI
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CHI: 14 pts
6
SAC
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs SAC: 6 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 9.5
62%
AST
OVER 1.5
68%
REB
UNDER 2.5
59%
vs ??? (H2H)4 games
PPG
3.3
RPG
2.0
APG
2.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey | 2 | 9 | 30% | -32.6% | low |
| Ochai Agbaji | 1 | 7 | 30% | -32.6% | low |
| Bruce Brown | 3 | 7 | 50% | -2.6% | medium |
| Keldon Johnson | 3 | 7 | 64% | +4.5% |
Miller Trending Up but Limited vs. Spurs After Inconsistent Week
Jordan Miller has shown positive momentum over his last 10 games (10.6 PPG, 3.2 APG on 26.3 MPG), up from season averages, with an upward trend established. However, his recent game log reveals volatility—he scored just 6 points vs. Sacramento after posting 14 against Chicago and Minnesota. Against San Antonio specifically, Miller has struggled significantly, averaging only 3.25 PPG across 4 matchups on just 10.25 MPG, suggesting limited opportunity or poor fit. The Spurs' league-average defense (111.83 rating) offers no particular edge, but his historically poor performance in this series is a red flag for prop-playing purposes.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.0(↑ from 9.3)
APG
3.0(↑ from 2.1)
MPG
26.0(↑ from 21.1)
Key Matchup
Keldon Johnson has defended Miller for 4.2 minutes in recent meetings, allowing 11 points on 71% FG. However, Miller's overall 4-game series avg of 3.25 PPG on 10.25 MPG indicates minimal offensive role rather than a specific defensive vulnerability—this appears more about opportunity than matchup difficulty.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Miller▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 22 | ✗ |
Jordan Miller▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Jordan Miller▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 9 | ✗ |
pointsUNDER 9.5
ML Scout Analysis
PTS9.5OVER31%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 3x15/2075%+20.1% edge▼
P+A14UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼
REB3.5UNDER55%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%+11.8% edgeConfidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
AST2.5OVER8%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
PRA15.5UNDER1%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.200▼
R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
P+R14OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
FTM1.5UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
3PA1UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x8/2040%▼
FTA2UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
Featured Pick
Jordan Miller
Assists OVER 1.5MEDIUM
Miller's last 5-game average of 3.0 APG and last 10 average of 3.2 APG exceed this line significantly. Elevated recent minutes (26 MPG) support continued playmaking opportunities. His season home/away splits (2.17 HOME) are favorable, and even accounting for volatility, 1.5 is a low threshold given recent production.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.