Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 4 | 14 | 63% | +6.5% | medium |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 3 | 14 | 40% | -13.5% | medium |
| Jake LaRavia | 4 | 13 | 50% | -3.5% | medium |
| Desmond Bane | 2 | 11 | 54% |
Julian Champagnie is trending downward with 9.6 PPG over his last 5 games compared to 11.1 season average, and he's been particularly ineffective against the Clippers historically, averaging just 9.9 PPG across 7 matchups on only 21.1 MPG. The LA Clippers' elite defense (112.71 rating) with strong three-point suppression (1.055) will likely limit his efficiency, especially with Derrick Jones Jr. ($$$) providing physical perimeter defense. While Champagnie shot 20 PPG at home against LAC on 3/6, that outlier game masks a concerning pattern of underperformance in this specific matchup.
Derrick Jones Jr. is the primary defender with the most responsibility (4.2 minutes tracked), holding opponents to 40% FG. The Clippers' elite perimeter defense and three-point suppression will challenge Champagnie's outside scoring, a critical element of his offensive game.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Julian Champagnie▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 7 | ✓ |
Julian Champagnie▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 8 | ✓ |
Julian Champagnie▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 1 | ✗ |
Julian Champagnie▼ | 3PM | 2.39 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 0 | ✓ |
Champagnie's 9.9 PPG average vs LAC over 7 games, combined with his current 5-game downtrend (9.6 PPG), suggests he'll struggle to exceed 9.5 against the Clippers' strong defense. His recent 8-point and 9-point outputs against comparable opponents align with under projection.
| low |
| Trey Murphy III | 3 | 11 | 100% | +44.0% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 3 | 5 | 5 | 33% | 33% |
| Kobe Sanders | 3 | 5 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 3 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Jordan Miller | 3 | 4 | 15 | 88% | 94% |
Champagnie averages 9.9 PPG vs LAC historically and is in a 5-game downtrend (9.6 PPG). The Clippers' defensive rating and three-point suppression should suppress his scoring below the 9.5 line.
His recent mean is 5.6 RPG and away performance averages 6.12 RPG. Despite facing a tough defense, rebounding should remain steady above 4.5.
Recent 10-game mean is 1.9 APG and recent 5-game mean is 1.6 APG, both comfortably above 1.5. His playmaking has been consistent this stretch.
Clippers suppress three-point shooting (1.055 suppression). While Champagnie shoots 38.1% from three seasonally, the matchup and defensive scheme should limit his attempts and efficiency.