F
Keldon Johnson▼
SAS · F
PPG
12.7
RPG
5.6
APG
1.3
L5 PPG
11.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-1.5
12.7
11.2
RPG-0.6
5.6
5.0
APG-0.3
1.3
1.0
UNDER 11.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
11.5
10
LAC
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs LAC: 10 pts
20
HOU
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs HOU: 20 pts
8
BOS
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs BOS: 8 pts
5
DEN
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs DEN: 5 pts
13
CHA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs CHA: 13 pts
Over 11.5
Under 11.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 11.5
68%
REB
UNDER 5.5
62%
AST
UNDER 1.5
72%
PRA
UNDER 16.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)18 games
PPG
12.6
RPG
5.7
APG
2.1
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 4 | 14 | 60% | +7.8% | medium |
| Julius Randle | 3 | 11 | 38% | -14.7% | medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 3 | 10 | 17% | -35.5% | medium |
| Al Horford | 3 | 8 | 50% |
Johnson Slumping Against Clippers Defense—Lean Under on Points
Keldon Johnson is trending downward, averaging just 9.4 PPG over his last 10 games compared to his 12.7 season average, with last 5 games at 11.2 PPG. The Clippers' defense ranks strong (112.71 def rating) with notable three-point suppression (+1.055), and Johnson will likely face Kawhi Leonard, who has held opponents to 58.3% FG on 20.8 minutes of defensive work. Johnson's away PPG (12.06) falls short of the 11.5 line, and his recent volatility (5–20 PPG range) suggests caution on overs.
Stat Trends
PPG
11.2(↓ from 12.7)
RPG
5.0(↓ from 5.6)
3P%
0.0(↓ from 0.4)
Key Matchup
Kawhi Leonard is the primary defensive assignment, holding opponents to 58.3% FG efficiency. The Clippers' +1.055 three-point suppression directly challenges Johnson's 38.2% three-point shooting, limiting his offensive ceiling.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keldon Johnson▼ | Points | 11.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 8 | ✓ |
Keldon Johnson▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 5 | ✓ |
Keldon Johnson▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Keldon Johnson▼ | PRA | 16.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 13 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS12.5UNDER11%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
3PA3.5UNDER25%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼
FTA0.5OVER7%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved HIGH to LOW▼
PRA18UNDER11%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
P+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
REB4.5UNDER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼
P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
AST1UNDER13%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 5x5/2025%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTM0.5UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
3PM1UNDER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
Featured Pick
Keldon Johnson
Assists UNDER 1.5MEDIUM
Johnson's recent assist totals (0–3, averaging 0.9 last 5) fall consistently short of 1.5. His role is offensive-focused in a rotation position, and road games to defensive-minded opponents typically suppress secondary playmaking. Clippers' pace and defensive setup further limit creation opportunities.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.