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NightlyHoops/Predictions/2026-03-17
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NBA Slate

Tuesday, March 17, 2026

8 games · 40 tracked props · 743 graded picks

Slate Result
49%
363-380
Slate Read

A slate headlined by OKC's dominant Thunder visiting a depleted Magic squad, while the Knicks look to punish a historically bad Pacers team at home. Several matchups feature significant rest advantages and injury concerns that could create valuable prop opportunities.

Game Board

Each matchup card shows the strongest props for that game first. Open a card for the full preview.

CLE@MIL
Board Readyscheduled

The Cavaliers' balanced attack visits a struggling Bucks squad missing both Allen and Turner, creating a major rebounding disadvantage for Milwaukee and opening the paint for Mobley to dominate.

Top Props
Evan Mobley
Rebounds 8.5
OVER78%Hit
Donovan Mitchell
Assists 3.5
OVER76%Miss
Bobby Portis
Points 18.5
OVER

Featured Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Points OVER 35.5HIGH

SGA's 31.6 PPG season average with a full workload (30+ min expected) against Orlando's weak perimeter defense (114.06 DRTG) plus OKC's 2-day rest advantage makes 36+ PPG highly achievable.

Karl-Anthony Towns
Points OVER 25.5HIGH

Towns is 28.5 PPG vs. Indiana and faces a defense ranked 119.91 in efficiency with key defensive pieces unavailable, making this conservative line easy to exceed.

Cade Cunningham
Assists OVER 9.5HIGH

Cunningham's 11.5 APG last 5 and 10.1 APG season average far exceed the 9.5 line, especially against Washington's turnover-prone perimeter defense (123.95 DRtg).

Parlay of the Day

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — Points OVER 35.5Leg 1
Full Prop Board

Use this when you want the entire slate in one sortable table.

40 picks
Filter:
PlayerPropLinePickConfidenceTrendActualResult
Cade Cunningham▼
DET
Assists9.5stakeOVER82%HIGH60%0✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼
NYK
Points25.5fanduelOVER82%HIGH10%22✗
Tre Johnson▼
WAS
Points16.5stakeUNDER79%HIGH80%11✓
Evan Mobley▼
CLE
Rebounds8.5draftkingsOVER78%HIGH40%15✓
Cade Cunningham▼
DET
Points23.5stakeOVER78%HIGH50%6✗
Jarace Walker▼
IND
Points17.5bovadaUNDER78%HIGH80%——
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼
OKC
Points35.5draftkingsOVER78%HIGH10%40✓
Quentin Grimes▼
PHI
Points20.5fanduelUNDER78%HIGH60%12✓
Julius Randle▼
MIN
Points23.5draftkingsOVER78%HIGH10%——
Victor Wembanyama▼
SAS
Points25.5fanduelOVER78%HIGH50%18✗
Donovan Mitchell▼
CLE
Assists3.5draftkingsOVER76%HIGH100%3✗
Will Riley▼
WAS
Points13.5ProjUNDER76%HIGH50%21✗
Nikola Jokić▼
DEN
Assists10.5fanduelOVER76%HIGH60%14✓
Precious Achiuwa▼
SAC
Rebounds8.5betmgmOVER76%HIGH80%7✗
Jalen Green▼
PHX
Points18.5fanduelOVER75%HIGH70%9✗
Bobby Portis▼
MIL
Points18.5draftkingsOVER72%MEDIUM20%19✓
Miles Bridges▼
CHA
Rebounds5.5draftkingsOVER72%HIGH30%10✓
OG Anunoby▼
NYK
Points28.5fanduelOVER71%MEDIUM10%——
Josh Hart▼
NYK
Rebounds8.5draftkingsOVER69%MEDIUM50%7✗
Ryan Rollins▼
MIL
Assists4.5fanduelOVER68%MEDIUM70%4✗
Mitchell Robinson▼
NYK
Rebounds9.5bovadaOVER67%MEDIUM50%8✗
James Harden▼
CLE
Points28.5draftkingsUNDER65%MEDIUM90%——
Jalen Duren▼
DET
Rebounds10.5stakeOVER65%MEDIUM40%11✓
Kon Knueppel▼
CHA
3PM1.5draftkingsOVER65%MEDIUM80%——
Chet Holmgren▼
OKC
Rebounds13.5draftkingsOVER65%MEDIUM20%12✗
Rudy Gobert▼
MIN
Rebounds14.5fanduelOVER65%MEDIUM20%——
Malik Monk▼
SAC
Points13.5fanduelOVER65%MEDIUM40%——
Norman Powell▼
MIA
Points16.5williamhill_usUNDER64%MEDIUM30%17✗
Desmond Bane▼
ORL
Points14.5draftkingsUNDER64%MEDIUM20%16✗
VJ Edgecombe▼
PHI
Rebounds5.5fanduelOVER64%MEDIUM40%3✗
Isaiah Hartenstein▼
OKC
Assists2.5stakeOVER63%MEDIUM80%8✓
Russell Westbrook▼
SAC
Assists6.5fanduelOVER63%MEDIUM60%10✓
LaMelo Ball▼
CHA
Assists6.5draftkingsOVER62%MEDIUM30%13✓
Paolo Banchero▼
ORL
Points23.5stakeUNDER62%MEDIUM40%32✗
Jamal Murray▼
DEN
Points24.5betriversOVER62%MEDIUM60%——
Devin Booker▼
PHX
Points28.5draftkingsUNDER62%MEDIUM50%34✗
De'Aaron Fox▼
SAS
Assists6.5fanduelOVER62%MEDIUM50%6✗
Cameron Johnson▼
DEN
Points11.5draftkingsOVER61%MEDIUM40%18✓
Jaden McDaniels▼
MIN
Points19.5fanduelUNDER60%MEDIUM80%16✓
Tyler Herro▼
MIA
Points18.5fanduelOVER58%MEDIUM50%20✓

Results & Analysis

48.9%363/743 picks hit
HIGH48%
115/239
MEDIUM49%
248/504
OVER40%
122/307
UNDER56%
241/431

Game Recaps

CLE123
@
MIL116
Final

Harden and Mobley Close Strong as Cleveland Slips Past Milwaukee

upsetrivalry
James Harden 27p/5r/6aEvan Mobley 27p/15r/2a
DET130
@
WAS117
Final

Duren dominates as Pistons pull away in Washington

blowout
Jalen Duren 36p/11r/2a
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
72%
Hit
Ryan Rollins
Assists 4.5
OVER68%Miss
James Harden
Points 28.5
UNDER65%
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
DET@WAS
Board Readyin_progress

Detroit visits a Wizards team riding a 12-game losing streak and playing back-to-back, with the Pistons' two-day rest advantage setting up a favorable environment for Cunningham to exploit Washington's turnover-prone perimeter defense.

Top Props
Cade Cunningham
Assists 9.5
OVER82%Miss
Tre Johnson
Points 16.5
UNDER79%Hit
Cade Cunningham
Points 23.5
OVER78%Miss
Will Riley
Points 13.5
UNDER76%Miss
Jalen Duren
Rebounds 10.5
OVER65%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
IND@NYK
Board Readyscheduled

The Knicks' 44-25 squad hosts a Pacers team in complete freefall at 0-10 over their last 10 games—New York's elite perimeter defense matchups should allow Towns and Anunoby to feast on a historically bad Indiana defense.

Top Props
Karl-Anthony Towns
Points 25.5
OVER82%Miss
Jarace Walker
Points 17.5
UNDER78%
OG Anunoby
Points 28.5
OVER71%
Josh Hart
Rebounds 8.5
OVER69%Miss
Mitchell Robinson
Rebounds 9.5
OVER67%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
MIA@CHA
Board Readyin_progress

Miami visits Charlotte in an Eastern Conference battle.

Top Props
Miles Bridges
Rebounds 5.5
OVER72%Hit
Kon Knueppel
3PM 1.5
OVER65%
Norman Powell
Points 16.5
UNDER64%Miss
LaMelo Ball
Assists 6.5
OVER62%Hit
Tyler Herro
Points 18.5
OVER58%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
OKC@ORL
Board Readyin_progress

The 53-15 Thunder roll into Orlando on the second night of a back-to-back for the Magic, with key players potentially dealing with injuries or load management after limited minutes—SGA should have a field day with extra rest and a depleted opponent.

Top Props
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Points 35.5
OVER78%Hit
Chet Holmgren
Rebounds 13.5
OVER65%Miss
Desmond Bane
Points 14.5
UNDER64%Miss
Isaiah Hartenstein
Assists 2.5
OVER63%Hit
Paolo Banchero
Points 23.5
UNDER62%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
PHI@DEN
Board Readyscheduled

Philadelphia visits Denver in a marquee showdown.

Top Props
Quentin Grimes
Points 20.5
UNDER78%Hit
Nikola Jokić
Assists 10.5
OVER76%Hit
VJ Edgecombe
Rebounds 5.5
OVER64%Miss
Jamal Murray
Points 24.5
OVER62%
Cameron Johnson
Points 11.5
OVER61%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
PHX@MIN
Board Readyscheduled

Phoenix travels to Minnesota in a matchup with playoff implications for both squads.

Top Props
Julius Randle
Points 23.5
OVER78%
Jalen Green
Points 18.5
OVER75%Miss
Rudy Gobert
Rebounds 14.5
OVER65%
Devin Booker
Points 28.5
UNDER62%Miss
Jaden McDaniels
Points 19.5
UNDER60%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
SAS@SAC
Board Readyscheduled

San Antonio travels to Sacramento in a Western Conference matchup.

Top Props
Victor Wembanyama
Points 25.5
OVER78%Miss
Precious Achiuwa
Rebounds 8.5
OVER76%Miss
Malik Monk
Points 13.5
OVER65%
Russell Westbrook
Assists 6.5
OVER63%Hit
De'Aaron Fox
Assists 6.5
OVER62%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
Karl-Anthony Towns — Points OVER 25.5
Leg 2
Cade Cunningham — Assists OVER 9.5Leg 3
Evan Mobley — Rebounds OVER 8.5Leg 4

This parlay stacks high-confidence legs across the slate's most favorable matchups: SGA faces Orlando's depleted defense with extra rest, Towns exploits Indiana's league-worst perimeter defense, Cunningham attacks Washington's turnover-prone guards, and Mobley dominates Milwaukee's missing interior defenders. All four players have recent statistical trends that significantly exceed their respective prop lines, creating a balanced four-leg parlay with individual confidence rates of 65-78%.

Bub Carrington 30p/4r/2a
IND110
@
NYK136
Final

Hart Blazes for 33 as Knicks Pull Away and Put Indiana in a Hole

blowout
Josh Hart 33p/7r/5aOG Anunoby 26p/8r/4a
MIA106
@
CHA136
Final

LaMelo Spins 30-13 as Hornets Blow Past Heat 136-106

blowout
LaMelo Ball 30p/6r/13aCoby White 24p/3r/3a
OKC113
@
ORL108
Final

Shai’s 40 and OKC’s late poise sink Orlando in a wild finish

upset
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 40p/5r/2a/4stlPaolo Banchero 32p/10r/5a
PHI96
@
DEN124
Final

Denver buries Philly early, Jokić orchestrates a wire-to-wire rout

blowout
Christian Braun 22p/5r/3aNikola Jokić 8p/7r/14a
PHX104
@
MIN116
Final

Randle, Booker duel, but Minnesota’s 3rd-quarter burst seals it

blowoutupset
Devin Booker 34p/6r/3aJulius Randle 32p/7r/2a
SAS132
@
SAC104
Final

Raynaud erupts for 32 as Spurs cruise past Kings 132-104

Maxime Raynaud 32p/9r/3aJulian Champagnie 17p/1r/1a