Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey | 4 | 18 | 66% | +5.8% | medium |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 4 | 13 | 100% | +23.2% | medium |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 3 | 11 | 83% | +19.9% | medium |
| Kevin Durant | 3 | 10 | 17% |
Coward is a starting SG with season averages of 13.3 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.8 assists in 26.1 minutes, but his recent form has cooled to 10.7 points over the last 10 and the trend is down. At home, he has been more productive with 14.8 PPG and 26.4 MPG, which is a notable boost versus his 11.4 PPG on the road. The matchup is not a clear defensive target from the data, and his only head-to-head showing against this opponent was 5 points in 27 minutes, so the projection is tempered despite the home split. With multiple books posting 13.5 on points and 5.5 on rebounds, he projects as more of a balanced secondary stat play than a must-hit scorer.
No specific defender matchup data is available. The opponent profile shows a defensive rating of 116.65 and a scoring suppression of 0.306, while Cedric Coward’s only listed head-to-head game against this opponent was 5 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists in 27 minutes.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cedric Coward▼ | Points | 13.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 15 | ✓ |
Cedric Coward▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 7 | ✓ |
Cedric Coward▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 1 | ✓ |
Cedric Coward▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Cedric Coward▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Cedric Coward▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Cedric Coward▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
Cedric Coward▼ | Turnovers | 2 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✗ |
Cedric Coward▼ | PRA | 21.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 23 | ✗ |
Cedric Coward▼ | P+A | 15.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 16 | ✗ |
This line matches his season scoring average of 13.3 almost exactly, and his home split jumps to 14.8 PPG across 8 games. Even with a downtrend in the last 10 at 10.7 PPG, the home environment keeps the over in play as the cleanest single prop.
| medium |
| Julian Champagnie | 3 | 10 | 79% | +10.3% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 2 | 6 | 6 | 33% | 33% |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson | 2 | 4 | 7 | 75% | 88% |
| Christian Braun | 1 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 2 | 1 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
He averages 13.3 points on the season and 14.8 points at home, which aligns closely with this line. The last 5 are 13.4 PPG, so the recent scoring level is right at the threshold.
His season rebound average is 6.2 and his home split is 5.8, both slightly above 5.5. Recent production has dipped to 5.6 over the last 5, so this is a narrow lean rather than a strong edge.
He averages 2.8 assists for the season but only 2.2 over the last 5, showing some recent slowdown. The line sits near his mean, but the downward recent trend makes the under slightly more attractive.
He averages 1.51 threes per game for the season, but only 1.1 over the last 10 and 1.6 over the last 20. The recent dip, plus no need to force a high-volume three-point outlook, makes the under the lean.
His season steals average is 0.6, and the recent windows are only 0.6 to 0.7. With limited defensive playmaking volume, this is better approached as an under than a chase over.
He averages 0.4 blocks on the season but 0.8 over the last 5 and 0.7 over the last 10, which is a clear short-term uptick. The data is volatile, but the recent stretch supports a slight over lean.
His season stocks average is 1.0 and the recent marks are 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.4 over the last 10, still below a 1.5 threshold. That makes the under the safer side on the combined defensive stat.
He has 2.1 turnovers over the last 10 and 2.4 over the last 5, both above 2.0. Given the recent ball-security issues, the over is supported.
His season PRA components put him around the low-20s, but his last 10 scoring drop to 10.7 points pulls the combo down. The under is helped by the recent minutes and usage softness.
He averages 13.3 points and 2.8 assists, which is only slightly below this combo line, but recent assists have slid to 2.2. The number is tight, and the recent trend favors the under.