AI Model:

Cedric Coward▼

MEM · SG

PPG

13.3

RPG

6.2

APG

2.8

L5 PPG

13.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.1

13.3

13.4

RPG-0.6

6.2

5.6

APG-0.6

2.8

2.2

SPG0.0

0.6

BPG+0.4

0.4

0.8

OVER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

13.5

MIN

2026-01-31

2026-01-31 vs MIN: 8 pts

MIN

2026-02-02

2026-02-02 vs MIN: 14 pts

SAC

2026-02-04

2026-02-04 vs SAC: 5 pts

POR

2026-02-06

2026-02-06 vs POR: 11 pts

GSW

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs GSW: 2 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 15 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 13 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 7 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 17 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

STL

UNDER 0.5

60%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

54%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

58%

OVER 2

57%

PRA

UNDER 21.5FANDUEL

59%

P+A

UNDER 15.5FANDUEL

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.8

11.4

RPG

5.8

5.5

APG

2.2

2.8

vs DEN (H2H)1 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

3.0

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Saddiq Bey	4	18	66%	+5.8%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	13	100%	+23.2%	medium
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	11	83%	+19.9%	medium
Kevin Durant	3	10	17%

Cedric Coward’s home split supports a steady scoring floor

Coward is a starting SG with season averages of 13.3 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.8 assists in 26.1 minutes, but his recent form has cooled to 10.7 points over the last 10 and the trend is down. At home, he has been more productive with 14.8 PPG and 26.4 MPG, which is a notable boost versus his 11.4 PPG on the road. The matchup is not a clear defensive target from the data, and his only head-to-head showing against this opponent was 5 points in 27 minutes, so the projection is tempered despite the home split. With multiple books posting 13.5 on points and 5.5 on rebounds, he projects as more of a balanced secondary stat play than a must-hit scorer.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.4(→ from 13.3)

RPG

5.6(↓ from 6.2)

APG

2.2(↓ from 2.8)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. The opponent profile shows a defensive rating of 116.65 and a scoring suppression of 0.306, while Cedric Coward’s only listed head-to-head game against this opponent was 5 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists in 27 minutes.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cedric Coward▼	Points	13.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	15	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	7	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✓
Cedric Coward▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	0	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗
Cedric Coward▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Cedric Coward▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✗
Cedric Coward▼	PRA	21.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	23	✗
Cedric Coward▼	P+A	15.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	16	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Cedric Coward

Points OVER 13.5MEDIUM

This line matches his season scoring average of 13.3 almost exactly, and his home split jumps to 14.8 PPG across 8 games. Even with a downtrend in the last 10 at 10.7 PPG, the home environment keeps the over in play as the cleanest single prop.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jamal Murray	2	6	6	33%	33%
Spencer Jones	2	4	2	50%	50%
Cameron Johnson	2	4	7	75%	88%
Christian Braun	1	2	3	50%	75%
Tim Hardaway Jr.	2	1	3	33%	50%

pointsOVER 13.558%MEDIUM

He averages 13.3 points on the season and 14.8 points at home, which aligns closely with this line. The last 5 are 13.4 PPG, so the recent scoring level is right at the threshold.

reboundsOVER 5.556%MEDIUM

His season rebound average is 6.2 and his home split is 5.8, both slightly above 5.5. Recent production has dipped to 5.6 over the last 5, so this is a narrow lean rather than a strong edge.

assistsUNDER 2.555%MEDIUM

He averages 2.8 assists for the season but only 2.2 over the last 5, showing some recent slowdown. The line sits near his mean, but the downward recent trend makes the under slightly more attractive.

threesUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.51 threes per game for the season, but only 1.1 over the last 10 and 1.6 over the last 20. The recent dip, plus no need to force a high-volume three-point outlook, makes the under the lean.

stealsUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 0.6, and the recent windows are only 0.6 to 0.7. With limited defensive playmaking volume, this is better approached as an under than a chase over.

blocksOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 blocks on the season but 0.8 over the last 5 and 0.7 over the last 10, which is a clear short-term uptick. The data is volatile, but the recent stretch supports a slight over lean.

stocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.0 and the recent marks are 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.4 over the last 10, still below a 1.5 threshold. That makes the under the safer side on the combined defensive stat.

turnoversOVER 257%MEDIUM

He has 2.1 turnovers over the last 10 and 2.4 over the last 5, both above 2.0. Given the recent ball-security issues, the over is supported.

praUNDER 21.559%MEDIUM

His season PRA components put him around the low-20s, but his last 10 scoring drop to 10.7 points pulls the combo down. The under is helped by the recent minutes and usage softness.

paUNDER 15.556%MEDIUM

He averages 13.3 points and 2.8 assists, which is only slightly below this combo line, but recent assists have slid to 2.2. The number is tight, and the recent trend favors the under.

timelineOVER 13.5 PTS