AI Model:

Olivier-Maxence Prosper▲

MEM · C

PPG

8.7

RPG

3.4

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

13.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.3

8.7

13.0

RPG+1.0

3.4

4.4

APG-0.2

1.0

0.8

SPG+0.6

0.6

1.2

BPG+0.3

0.3

0.6

OVER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

10.5

DAL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DAL: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs IND: 17 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 2 pts

POR

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs POR: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs BKN: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 11 pts

DAL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DAL: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 17 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 13 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

OVER 1

58%

3PM

OVER 1.5BETONLINEAG

60%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

54%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

63%

UNDER 2

61%

PRA

OVER 16.5BETONLINEAG

57%

P+R

OVER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.0

13.3

RPG

5.0

4.3

APG

1.4

1.2

vs DEN (H2H)6 games

PPG

4.7

RPG

2.0

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donovan Clingan	3	13	72%	+13.8%	medium
Rudy Gobert	4	8	50%	-4.9%	medium
Nikola Jokić	2	8	75%	+7.6%	low
Julius Randle	4	7	65%

Prosper’s minutes surge makes his overs live, but the rebound and combo lines are tight

Olivier-Maxence Prosper is trending up with season scoring at 8.7 PPG and a recent jump to 13.0 PPG over his last 5, while his minutes have climbed from 17.9 MPG season-long to 25.2 MPG in that same span. The strongest recent signals are his last 10 averages of 12.8 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.4 APG, and 1.7 stocks, showing a broader all-around role than his season baseline. His matchup history is not encouraging for ceiling, though: in 6 games vs this opponent he has averaged just 4.666666666666667 PPG, 2 RPG, and 0.6666666666666666 APG in 11.5 MPG. With Denver on a back-to-back and Memphis at home, the playing-time environment looks favorable, but the head-to-head sample keeps the projection grounded.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.0(↑ from 8.7)

RPG

4.4(↑ from 3.4)

APG

0.8(→ from 1.0)

Stocks

1.8(↑ from 0.9)

Key Matchup

The opponent profile shows a 116.65 defensive rating and 100 pace, with scoring_suppression of 0.306 and three_suppression of -0.867. For individual matchup context, there is no specific defender matchup data available beyond the listed key defenders, so the historical sample vs this opponent is the clearest caution flag.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Points	10.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	19	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Assists	1	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	0	✗
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	3	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	100%	1	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	PRA	16.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	20	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	P+R	14.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	20	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A16UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A6UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%▼

P+R19UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Points OVER 10.5MEDIUM

His recent scoring form is the clearest edge: 13.0 PPG in his last 5 and 12.8 PPG in his last 10, both above 10.5. The matchup history is poor, but the current minutes bump to 25.2 MPG gives the over enough support to be the best play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nikola Jokić	2	8	14	63%	75%
Cameron Johnson	2	4	3	20%	30%
Jamal Murray	2	3	3	25%	38%
Bruce Brown	1	2	3	100%	150%
Christian Braun	2	1	4	67%	67%

pointsOVER 10.564%MEDIUM

He is averaging 13.0 PPG over his last 5 and 12.8 PPG over his last 10, both above the 10.5 line. The downside is his six-game vs-opponent mark of 4.666666666666667 PPG, so this is more form-driven than matchup-driven.

reboundsUNDER 4.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 3.4 RPG and even his last 10 is only 4.7 RPG, which sits right on the number. The recent uptick helps the over case, but the distribution is volatile with several low-rebound games in the log.

assistsOVER 158%MEDIUM

His season mean is 0.98 APG and his last 10 is 1.4 APG, suggesting a modest assist bump in his larger role. The projection is close to the mean, but recent usage makes 1 assist attainable.

threesOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.98 made threes per game on the season and 1.6 over his last 5, with 1.6 fg3mpg over both last 10 and last 20. The recent volume supports a shot at clearing 1.5, especially with 25+ MPG.

blocksOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He has a 0.3 season average in blocks, but his last 5 is 0.6 and last 10 is 0.5, so the recent form is right at the threshold. This is a thin over because the season baseline is still below the line.

stocksOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.9, but it jumps to 1.8 over the last 5 and 1.7 over the last 10. That recent defensive production makes 1.5 a reasonable over target.

turnoversUNDER 261%MEDIUM

He is at 1.1 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 1.1 on the season, well below 2.0. Even with higher minutes, the turnover profile has stayed controlled.

praOVER 16.557%MEDIUM

His recent 12.8 PPG, 4.7 RPG, and 1.4 APG put him around 18.9 PRA over the last 10, above 16.5. The line is reachable if the minutes stay near his recent 25.1 MPG.

prOVER 14.559%MEDIUM

He is producing 12.8 points and 4.7 rebounds over the last 10, which combines to 17.5 PR. That recent level is above the listed 14.5.

timelineOVER 10.5 PTS