AI Model:

Bilal Coulibaly▲

WAS · SF

PPG

11.0

RPG

4.4

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

15.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.4

11.0

15.4

RPG+1.0

4.4

5.4

APG+1.0

2.6

3.6

SPG-0.6

1.4

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.9

0.6

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

ATL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs ATL: 10 pts

TOR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs TOR: 14 pts

HOU

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs HOU: 23 pts

ORL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs ORL: 6 pts

UTA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs UTA: 17 pts

NOP

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs NOP: 5 pts

MIA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIA: 10 pts

ORL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ORL: 29 pts

BOS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BOS: 12 pts

GSW

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs GSW: 21 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

52%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

STL

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

63%

OVER 1.5

58%

PRA

UNDER 19.5FANDUEL

61%

P+A

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

P+R

UNDER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.5

11.6

RPG

3.2

4.6

APG

2.5

3.1

vs DET (H2H)5 games

PPG

8.2

RPG

4.8

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Giannis Antetokounmpo	2	16	56%	+14.0%	low
Paolo Banchero	4	15	46%	+0.1%	medium
Anthony Edwards	2	13	58%	+8.4%	low
Tyrese Maxey	3	13	25%

Coulibaly’s minutes are up, but the scoring line still looks a bit rich

Bilal Coulibaly is trending up overall, with his last 5 scoring at 15.4 PPG and 30.6 MPG compared to a 11.0 PPG season average. The recent boost is real, but it also comes with volatility: his last 5 points are well above his season mean, while his season-to-date production and matchup history versus this opponent are much lower at 8.2 PPG in 5 games. With him listed questionable and the game in Washington, his ceiling is intact, but the safer read is to lean on the under for the inflated scoring and combo lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.4(↑ from 11.0)

RPG

5.4(↑ from 4.4)

APG

3.6(↑ from 2.6)

Stocks

1.5(↓ from 2.3)

Key Matchup

The opponent profile shows a 109.87 defensive rating, pace of 100, and negative scoring suppression of -1.254 with three-point suppression of -1.145. There is no specific defender matchup data, so the read is driven by the team-level suppression and Coulibaly’s own lower 5-game history versus this opponent at 8.2 PPG.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Bilal Coulibaly▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	90%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	30%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	40%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	PRA	19.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	P+A	15.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Bilal Coulibaly▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	50%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS12.5OVER3%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

PRA20.5OVER7%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed -0.069▼

REB4.5UNDER23%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST2.5OVER10%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.101; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+R18UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+A16.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

BLK0.5OVER21%gbt_blocksDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

3PM1.5UNDER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Bilal Coulibaly

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board because the line sits above his 11.04 season scoring average and his 8.2 PPG average in 5 games against this opponent. His recent 15.4 PPG run is strong, but that level is meaningfully above his season baseline, making regression the more reliable call.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Cade Cunningham	1	4	6	67%	67%
Ausar Thompson	1	3	2	100%	100%
Duncan Robinson	1	1	3	25%	38%
Ronald Holland II	1	1	4	100%	100%
Isaiah Stewart	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 12.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 11.04 PPG, and despite a hot last 5 at 15.4, that is a clear regression spot versus the 12.5 line. He has only 8.2 PPG in 5 games vs this opponent, which adds support to the under.

reboundsUNDER 4.556%MEDIUM

He averages 4.43 rebounds per game this season and 4.22 away, both just below the 4.5 line. The last 5 is slightly higher at 5.4, but the edge is thin and variance is moderate.

assistsOVER 2.552%MEDIUM

His season mean is 2.64 assists and his last 5 is 3.6, with recent minutes up to 30.6 MPG. The line is modest, but his recent passing volume makes over slightly more appealing than under.

threesUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 1.13 threes per game this season and 1.04 at home, both below the 1.5 line. His recent 1.9 last 5 is above baseline, but the season profile still points under.

stealsUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.4 steals per game on the season, but his last 5 is only 0.8 and his B2B mean is 0.86. The 1.5 line is a tough ask given the recent dip.

blocksOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 blocks per game on the season, which clears the 0.5 line. Even with some recent fluctuation, the baseline volume supports the over.

stocksUNDER 2.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.28, but his last 5 is 1.4 and last 10 is 1.5, both below a 2.5-type threshold. Given the recent slide, the under is the cleaner side.

turnoversOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He has 1.4 turnovers per game in both the last 5 and last 10, and his usage has ticked up with higher minutes. This projects near the 1.5 range, making the over reasonable if the line is posted low.

praUNDER 19.561%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 18.0 using the provided averages, while the last 5 is elevated by scoring. With combo props carrying extra variance, the season baseline still leans under the 19.5 line.

paUNDER 15.560%MEDIUM

Points plus assists season average is 13.6, well below 15.5, even though the last 5 has improved. This is a strong candidate to regress back toward his season level.

prUNDER 16.559%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-rebounds profile is 15.4, and his head-to-head scoring history is muted. The line is slightly above his normal output, so under is preferred.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS