Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 16 | 56% | +14.0% | low |
| Paolo Banchero | 4 | 15 | 46% | +0.1% | medium |
| Anthony Edwards | 2 | 13 | 58% | +8.4% | low |
| Tyrese Maxey | 3 | 13 | 25% |
Bilal Coulibaly is trending up overall, with his last 5 scoring at 15.4 PPG and 30.6 MPG compared to a 11.0 PPG season average. The recent boost is real, but it also comes with volatility: his last 5 points are well above his season mean, while his season-to-date production and matchup history versus this opponent are much lower at 8.2 PPG in 5 games. With him listed questionable and the game in Washington, his ceiling is intact, but the safer read is to lean on the under for the inflated scoring and combo lines.
The opponent profile shows a 109.87 defensive rating, pace of 100, and negative scoring suppression of -1.254 with three-point suppression of -1.145. There is no specific defender matchup data, so the read is driven by the team-level suppression and Coulibaly’s own lower 5-game history versus this opponent at 8.2 PPG.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 30% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | STL+BLK | 2.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 70% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 40% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | PRA | 19.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | P+A | 15.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | P+R | 16.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
This is the cleanest number on the board because the line sits above his 11.04 season scoring average and his 8.2 PPG average in 5 games against this opponent. His recent 15.4 PPG run is strong, but that level is meaningfully above his season baseline, making regression the more reliable call.
| medium |
| Devin Booker | 2 | 12 | 29% | -13.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 1 | 4 | 6 | 67% | 67% |
| Ausar Thompson | 1 | 3 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Duncan Robinson | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 38% |
| Ronald Holland II | 1 | 1 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Isaiah Stewart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 11.04 PPG, and despite a hot last 5 at 15.4, that is a clear regression spot versus the 12.5 line. He has only 8.2 PPG in 5 games vs this opponent, which adds support to the under.
He averages 4.43 rebounds per game this season and 4.22 away, both just below the 4.5 line. The last 5 is slightly higher at 5.4, but the edge is thin and variance is moderate.
His season mean is 2.64 assists and his last 5 is 3.6, with recent minutes up to 30.6 MPG. The line is modest, but his recent passing volume makes over slightly more appealing than under.
He averages 1.13 threes per game this season and 1.04 at home, both below the 1.5 line. His recent 1.9 last 5 is above baseline, but the season profile still points under.
He averages 1.4 steals per game on the season, but his last 5 is only 0.8 and his B2B mean is 0.86. The 1.5 line is a tough ask given the recent dip.
He averages 0.9 blocks per game on the season, which clears the 0.5 line. Even with some recent fluctuation, the baseline volume supports the over.
His season stocks average is 2.28, but his last 5 is 1.4 and last 10 is 1.5, both below a 2.5-type threshold. Given the recent slide, the under is the cleaner side.
He has 1.4 turnovers per game in both the last 5 and last 10, and his usage has ticked up with higher minutes. This projects near the 1.5 range, making the over reasonable if the line is posted low.
His season PRA is 18.0 using the provided averages, while the last 5 is elevated by scoring. With combo props carrying extra variance, the season baseline still leans under the 19.5 line.
Points plus assists season average is 13.6, well below 15.5, even though the last 5 has improved. This is a strong candidate to regress back toward his season level.
His season points-plus-rebounds profile is 15.4, and his head-to-head scoring history is muted. The line is slightly above his normal output, so under is preferred.