AI Model:
DET
Detroit Pistons
49-19 | L10: 5-5
@
WAS
Washington Wizards
16-52 | L10: 0-10
2026-03-19
ML Game Intelligence
HIGHDET95%
5%WAS
DET80-80WAS
Key Factors
- *Pistons without Cade Cunningham (24.5 PPG) - out (Back)
- *Wizards without Alex Sarr (16.9 PPG) - questionable (Toe)
- *Wizards without Kyshawn George (14.7 PPG) - out (Elbow)
- *Wizards without Bilal Coulibaly (11.0 PPG) - questionable ()
- *Pistons without Isaiah Stewart (10.0 PPG) - out (Calf)
Key Matchup
Wizards has matchup advantages
WAS Advantages
- + Positional advantages
- + Better roster depth
Key Defensive Matchups
DET Players
Duncan Robinson
Tre Johnson3g · 14m+0.0%64% eFGmedium
Bub Carrington4g · 5m+0.0%56% eFGmedium
Bilal Coulibaly1g · 5m+0.0%0% eFGlow
Jalen Duren
Alex Sarr3g · 19m+0.0%48% eFGmedium
Anthony Gill3g · 5m+0.0%100% eFGmedium
Detroit enters at 49-19 while Washington has fallen to 16-52 and is on a 13-game losing streak, so the matchup leans heavily toward the Pistons controlling the game state. Both teams are on 2 days rest and neither is on a back-to-back, but Washington's recent form is the bigger story: 0-10 in its last 10 and searching for any positive momentum at home.
Team Comparison
DETWAS
Key Players
C
Jalen Duren▲
DET · C
PPG
19.0
RPG
10.6
APG
1.7
L5 PPG
25.2
He is averaging 25.2 PPG over his last 5, up from 19.0 on the season, and he just put up 36 points and 11 rebounds on 2026-03-17 against Washington. His season averages of 19.0 PPG and 10.6 RPG plus 12 head-to-head games at 15.0 PPG and 12.4 RPG make him the clearest usage anchor in the game.
ProjectedPTS: 12.5-19.1-25.7REB: 7.3-10.3-13.3AST: 0-1.5-3.9
SF
Bilal Coulibaly▲Questionable
WAS · SF
PPG
11.0
RPG
4.4
APG
2.6
L5 PPG
15.4
He is trending up with 15.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG, and 3.6 APG over his last 5 versus 11.0/4.4/2.6 on the season. The biggest wrinkle is his Questionable tag, but if active he has been a multi-category contributor and has already shown a higher ceiling in recent games like 29 points against Orlando.
ProjectedPTS: 5.2-11.8-18.4REB: 1.8-4.8-7.8AST: 0.6-3-5.4
C
Alex Sarr—Questionable
WAS · C
PPG
16.9
RPG
7.5
APG
2.6
L5 PPG
13.4
His last 5 are down to 13.4 PPG and 6.2 RPG from a 16.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG season line, and his minutes also dipped to 21.8 over that span. He has a strong ceiling, but the current form and Questionable status make his production more fragile than the season profile suggests.
ProjectedPTS: 7.8-14.4-21REB: 4-7-10AST: 0-2.1-4.5
Prop Picks
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Duren▼ DET | Points | 23.5fanduel | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 50% | 24 | ✓ |
Jalen Duren▼ DET | Rebounds | 11.5fanduel | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 70% | 11 | ✓ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ WAS | Points | 11.5draftkings | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 60% | — | — |
Alex Sarr▼ WAS | Rebounds | 11.5draftkings | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 70% | 3 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ WAS | Points | 11.5draftkings | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 60% | 12 | ✗ |
Model Comparison
2 models · 8 props compared
Sort:
Show:
Props Shown
8
8 total on slate
Models
2
1 game view
Unanimous
7
Full agreement across submitted picks
Featured Picks
Alex Sarr
Rebounds UNDER 11.5HIGH
His season average is 7.5 RPG, his last 5 are 6.2 RPG, and his last 10 are 8.1 RPG, all well below 11.5. The recent minutes drop to 21.8 MPG adds more downside to the over case.
Jalen Duren
Points OVER 23.5MEDIUM
He is averaging 25.2 PPG over his last 5 and has a 36-point game against Washington on 2026-03-17. The line is below that recent run, and Washington's defense has already shown it can be attacked by him.
Tre Johnson
Points UNDER 11.5MEDIUM
His last 5 are 10.2 PPG and his last 10 are 10.8 PPG, both under the current line. He has not shown enough recent scoring stability to justify paying for the over.
Parlay of the Game
Alex Sarr — Rebounds UNDER 11.5Leg 1
Tre Johnson — Points UNDER 11.5Leg 2
Jalen Duren — Points OVER 23.5Leg 3
The two Washington unders align with their recent production slipping below the market, while Duren's over reflects the clearest recent usage and scoring edge in the game. The legs are not perfectly correlated, but they combine strong form-based edges from both sides of the matchup.
Injury & Lineup Notes
Bilal Coulibaly is Questionable with Injury/Illness-RightRetrocalcaneal, and Alex Sarr is Questionable with Injury/Illness-LeftBigToe. Will Riley is Available, Tre Johnson is Available, and the Pistons' core names in this dataset are listed as Available.
Player Deep Dives
Duncan RobinsonDET
arrow_forwardJalen DurenDET
arrow_forwardAusar ThompsonDET
arrow_forwardBilal CoulibalyWAS
arrow_forwardAlex SarrWAS
arrow_forwardBub CarringtonWAS
arrow_forwardDaniss JenkinsDET
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
