Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Dunn | 2 | 13 | 0% | -41.7% | low |
| Kon Knueppel | 4 | 12 | 30% | -21.7% | medium |
| Desmond Bane | 4 | 11 | 67% | +25.0% | medium |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 9 | 0% |
Tre Johnson is averaging 12.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.0 assists in 23.8 minutes this season, with his last-5 scoring dipping to 10.2 points. His recent form is mixed: the last-10 is 10.8 PPG while the last-20 is 12.1 PPG, which suggests he is close to his season baseline rather than breaking out. He just posted 11 points, 4 rebounds, and 1 assist in 24 minutes in the most recent matchup with Detroit, and his 2026-03-17 game log adds another data point near that range. With the market showing a points line of 11.5 to 12.5 at several books, the projection sits around his current season level rather than a clear over spot.
Detroit-specific data is limited to Tre Johnson’s own head-to-head results, where he has averaged 10.5 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists in 2 games against this opponent. The available defender list does not provide a clear primary defender assignment to target, so there is no specific defender matchup data.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tre Johnson▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 12 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Tre Johnson▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 1 | ✗ |
Tre Johnson▼ | PRA | 17.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 15 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | P+A | 14.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 14 | ✓ |
Tre Johnson▼ | P+R | 15.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 13 | ✓ |
This is one of the cleanest numbers on the board relative to his production: 2.0 assists per game on the season, 1.6 over the last-5, and a 2.5 line at multiple books. The combination of modest assist volume and recent dip makes the under the strongest edge among the listed props.
| low |
| VJ Edgecombe | 2 | 9 | 20% | -21.7% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson | 3 | 7 | 11 | 44% | 61% |
| Daniss Jenkins | 3 | 3 | 5 | 40% | 50% |
| Ronald Holland II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Tobias Harris | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Javonte Green | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season average is 12.2 PPG and his last-5 is only 10.2, so 12.5 asks for a score above both recent form and baseline. Detroit also held him to 11 points in the most recent head-to-head on 2026-03-17.
He averages 2.8 rebounds for the season and 3.2 over the last-10, which is slightly above the 2.5 line. The profile is still volatile, but the matchup data shows 4 rebounds in the latest Detroit game.
Tre Johnson is at 2.0 assists per game this season and only 1.6 over the last-5, so 2.5 is above his normal output. The recent game logs also show he has stayed at 1-2 assists in most appearances.
He averages 1.94 made threes per game on the season and 1.9 over the last-10, so 1.5 is below his typical volume. Away form is stronger at 2.29 made threes per game, which supports this over if his shot attempts hold.
He averages only 0.6 steals per game season-long and just 0.2 over the last-5, but the variance is still high for a one-event prop. The market line is low, yet his recent steal production has been limited.
He averages 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.2 over the last-5, well below 0.5. This is a clear under relative to his established shot-blocking rate.
His season stocks average is 0.89 and recent is 0.7, both short of 1.5. Since steals and blocks are both low-volume for him, this combo requires an outlier game.
His last-5 and last-10 turnover rate is 2.0 per game, so 1.5 is below recent usage. The recent logs show multiple 2-turnover games, making this a reasonable lean.
His season PRA is 17.98 (12.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, 2.0 assists), which is close but not comfortably above the 17.5 line. Because the last-5 scoring and assists are down, the under is slightly safer.
His season points plus assists sits at 14.24, and the last-5 combination is even lower at 11.8. That puts 14.5 above his recent baseline despite being near his season mean.
His season points plus rebounds is 15.04, which is slightly below this line. Recent scoring has been softer, so he needs a better-than-average night to clear 15.5.