AI Model:

Daniss Jenkins—

DET · PG

PPG

7.7

RPG

1.9

APG

3.1

L5 PPG

8.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.9

7.7

8.6

RPG+1.1

1.9

3.0

APG+1.9

3.1

5.0

SPG+0.9

0.9

1.8

BPG+0.6

0.2

0.8

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

8.5

CLE

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs CLE: 8 pts

ORL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ORL: 2 pts

CLE

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CLE: 5 pts

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 11 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 4 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 14 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 4 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 15 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5STAKE

67%

REB

OVER 1.5STAKE

61%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

56%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

58%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

64%

OVER 1.5

60%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

62%

P+R

UNDER 9.5STAKE

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.1

6.8

RPG

2.6

1.8

APG

2.7

2.5

vs WAS (H2H)2 games

PPG

19.5

RPG

5.0

APG

5.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	22	33%	-8.5%	medium
Tre Jones	3	12	50%	+8.2%	medium
Tyrese Maxey	2	11	27%	-18.7%	low
CJ McCollum	2	10	77%

Strong matchup keeps Jenkins in play, but season averages cap the ceiling

Daniss Jenkins has been steady overall, with 7.7 PPG, 3.1 APG, and 1.9 RPG on the season while logging 17.3 MPG. His last 5 games are a bit hotter at 8.6 PPG, 5.0 APG, and 3.0 RPG, but that assist spike comes with high variance and a season std of 3.1 on assists. The matchup is appealing because Washington owns a 124.04 defensive rating and allows pace at 100, and Jenkins already posted 15 points and 7 assists against them on 2026-03-17. Still, the safer angle is to lean on his modest season scoring baseline and avoid overstating the recent uptick.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.6(↑ from 7.7)

APG

5.0(↑ from 3.1)

RPG

3.0(↑ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

Washington has a 124.04 defensive rating and a pace of 100, which is favorable for fantasy production. There is no specific defender matchup data that clearly changes the projection, and Jenkins has already produced well against this opponent with 19.5 PPG, 5 RPG, and 5 APG in 2 games.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Daniss Jenkins▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	9	✗
Daniss Jenkins▼	Rebounds	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	2	✓
Daniss Jenkins▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	5	✗
Daniss Jenkins▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✗
Daniss Jenkins▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Daniss Jenkins▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Daniss Jenkins▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✗
Daniss Jenkins▼	P+R	9.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	11	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A19.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 5x12/2060%▼

R+A9OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

P+R16.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 10x12/2060%▼

Featured Pick

Daniss Jenkins

Points UNDER 8.5MEDIUM

The season average is 7.7 points and the last 10 sits at 6.9, both below the posted line. Although he scored 15 against Washington in the previous meeting, the larger body of work and his high scoring variance make the under the cleaner side.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Sharife Cooper	2	8	4	50%	50%
CJ McCollum	1	7	15	50%	63%
Bub Carrington	3	7	4	50%	50%
Jaden Hardy	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jamir Watkins	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 8.567%MEDIUM

He averages 7.7 points season-long and 6.9 over the last 10, both below 8.5. The last-5 bump to 8.6 is not enough to override the broader sample, especially with scoring volatility reflected in a 6.6 season std.

reboundsOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

Jenkins averages 1.9 rebounds for the season and 1.8 over the last 10, which is slightly above this line. His last 5 is 3.0 rebounds and his matchup history vs Washington shows 5 rebounds across 2 games.

assistsUNDER 3.556%MEDIUM

Season assists are 3.1 and last 10 are 3.7, so this is close, but the 3.1 season std makes the over risky. The recent 5.0 APG is well above his season norm and likely needs better minutes or efficiency to hold.

threesUNDER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.86 threes per game, but the last 5 has dropped to 0.6 and the recent game log shows several one-or-zero attempts nights. With a low-volume profile and only 0.6 made threes in both the home and away splits, the under is playable.

stealsOVER 0.564%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, comfortably above 0.5. The recent 5-game stretch includes multiple 2-steal games and even a 5-steal outlier, supporting the over despite variance.

turnoversOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season turnover rate is 1.2, but the last 5 is 1.8 and the last 10 is 1.5. With his ball-handling role and recent games including multiple 2- and 3-turnover outings, 1.5 is reachable.

stocksOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

He averages 1.12 stocks on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, with 2.6 over the last 5. That recent defensive production is strong enough to attack this number, though the season std of 1.27 keeps confidence in check.

prUNDER 9.563%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile is 7.7 PPG and 1.9 RPG, which points to a total below 9.5 most nights. The recent 5-game run is better, but the broader sample and scoring volatility favor the under.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS