AI Model:

DeAndre Jordan—

NOP · C

PPG

4.1

RPG

6.4

APG

0.8

L5 PPG

3.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

4.1

3.2

RPG-1.6

6.4

4.8

APG+0.4

0.8

1.2

SPG+0.1

0.3

0.4

BPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

UNDER 4 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

BOS

2025-10-27

2025-10-27 vs BOS: 7 pts

DEN

2025-10-29

2025-10-29 vs DEN: 2 pts

PHI

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs PHI: 6 pts

GSW

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs GSW: 6 pts

UTA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs UTA: 4 pts

UTA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs UTA: 3 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 2 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 6 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 2 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 3 pts

Over 4

Under 4

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 4

64%

REB

UNDER 6.5

60%

AST

OVER 0.5

58%

BLK

OVER 0.5

54%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

67%

UNDER 1

63%

P+A

OVER 4.5

56%

R+A

UNDER 7

59%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

4.9

4.8

RPG

6.8

6.5

APG

1.5

0.9

vs LAC (H2H)10 games

PPG

7.3

RPG

6.9

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Julian Reese	1	5	0%	-65.6%	low
Draymond Green	1	5	38%	-28.1%	low
Andre Drummond	1	5	0%	-65.6%	low
Jalen Duren	1	4	67%	+1.1%

Low-usage big with rebound floor, but scoring upside is capped

DeAndre Jordan is averaging 4.1 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 0.8 assists on 16.2 minutes per game, with his last-5 dipping to 3.2 points and 4.8 rebounds. The matchup is neutral-to-slightly favorable at home, where he has been better across the board than away, but both teams are on a back-to-back and his minutes profile keeps his ceiling limited. He has also shown modest head-to-head production against the Clippers at 7.3 points and 6.9 rebounds over 10 games, but that comes on just 18.7 minutes per game. With his recent volume and standard deviation in rebounds, the safer angle is leaning under on inflated numbers and only modest confidence on any over.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.2(↓ from 4.1)

RPG

4.8(↓ from 6.4)

APG

1.2(↑ from 0.8)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is mixed: the Clippers allow a 112.97 defensive rating and the game has a pace of 100, while Jordan’s home splits are better than his away splits.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
DeAndre Jordan▼	Points	4	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
DeAndre Jordan▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
DeAndre Jordan▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%
DeAndre Jordan▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	40%
DeAndre Jordan▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	70%
DeAndre Jordan▼	Turnovers	1	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	80%
DeAndre Jordan▼	P+A	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
DeAndre Jordan▼	R+A	7	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	70%

ML Scout Analysis

FTA2UNDER56%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 8x2/1217%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R11UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)5/1242%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PTS4OVER2%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)5/1242%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

REB5.5OVER21%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)6/1250%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA11.5OVER8%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/1250%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)4/1233%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A5.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/1250%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

Featured Pick

DeAndre Jordan

Points UNDER 4.5HIGH

His season scoring average is 4.1, but the last-5 is down to 3.2 and he is only playing 16.2 minutes per game. That combination makes a modest points under the most reliable angle unless the line opens very low.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brook Lopez	1	3	6	50%	75%
Kawhi Leonard	1	1	0	0%	0%
John Collins	1	0	6	50%	50%
Derrick Jones Jr.	1	0	2	100%	100%
Kris Dunn	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 464%MEDIUM

His season mean is 4.1 and his last-5 is only 3.2, with just 16.2 minutes per game. The lower recent scoring and limited usage make an under slightly preferable if the market sets a modest line.

reboundsUNDER 6.560%MEDIUM

He averages 6.4 rebounds for the season, but only 4.8 over the last 5 games. The rebound profile has meaningful variance, so anything above 6.5 is vulnerable to a short-minute game.

assistsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He is averaging 0.8 assists on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, with home mean at 1.0. The number is low, but his role still keeps this in play.

blocksOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 blocks per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 10. The block rate supports a modest over, though his minutes cap keeps confidence moderate.

stocksUNDER 1.567%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 stocks for the season and only 0.8 over the last 5, below the 1.5 threshold. With combined defensive events not consistently clearing that mark, the under is the cleaner side.

turnoversUNDER 163%MEDIUM

He is at 0.9 turnovers per game on the season and 0.6 over the last 5. His low-usage role keeps turnover risk modest.

paOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

Points plus assists projects from 4.1 PPG and 0.8 APG, and his recent assist uptick gives a small cushion. Still, this is a low-confidence combo because his scoring is inconsistent.

raUNDER 759%MEDIUM

Rebounds plus assists starts from 6.4 RPG and 0.8 APG, but his last-5 rebounding drop makes the over less attractive. Combo props are volatile here, so the under is slightly safer.

timelineUNDER 4 PTS