LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

LAC

LA Clippers

34-35 | L10: 6-4

NOP

New Orleans Pelicans

24-46 | L10: 6-4

2026-03-19

Key Defensive Matchups

LAC Players

Kris Dunn

Herbert Jones4g · 6m+0.0%79% eFGmedium

Jeremiah Fears4g · 6m+0.0%50% eFGmedium

Dejounte Murray2g · 5m+0.0%63% eFGlow

Derrick Jones Jr.

Trey Murphy III3g · 10m+0.0%83% eFGmedium

Saddiq Bey4g · 8m+0.0%75% eFGmedium

The Clippers enter at 34-35 and have dropped 3 straight, while New Orleans is 24-46 but has won 2 in a row and both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back. This sets up a motivation-heavy spot with fatigue in play, and the Pelicans’ recent surge is coming against a Clippers group that has already allowed several strong individual lines in the matchup data provided.

Team Comparison

LACNOP

Key Players

He has 9.0 PPG over his last 5 compared to 8.9 on the season, with 2.8 stocks over that span and 28.6 MPG. The matchup context is strong for peripheral production, but the scoring profile remains modest and the recent game log shows 7, 10, 8, 16, and 4 points, so his points prop is better approached conservatively.

He’s at 17.0 PPG over his last 5 and 18.0 over his last 10, with minutes holding at 31.4 and 32.8 MPG recently. He just posted 25 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists vs LAC, so the scoring line is live, but his season average of 17.3 still keeps the edge modest.

DeAndre Jordan—Unknown

His production is low-usage and role-dependent, with 4.1 PPG and 6.4 RPG on the season and 3.2 PPG over the last 5. The recent minutes are down to 14.4, which makes scoring props volatile, while rebound chances remain the cleaner angle if his minutes hold.

He’s still a high-volume producer at 21.9 PPG, 5.7 RPG, and 3.9 APG, but his last 10 points average is 20.5 versus the season mark of 21.9. The last game against LAC was 23 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists, so the all-around floor is strong, but the current point line is a bit aggressive versus his season baseline.

He’s been active defensively with 2.6 blocks per game over the last 5 and 2.1 over the last 10, while his scoring has slipped to 4.2 PPG. His rebound workload is still solid at 7.0 RPG over the last 5, but the recent points trend points more toward an under than an over.

Zion is sitting at 21.4 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 3.3 APG on the season, with 20.2 PPG over the last 5 and 19.1 over the last 10. He just had 14 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists vs LAC, so the season line is still playable, but the recent dip and lower assist usage reduce confidence on combo overs.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Edge	Actual	Result
Zion Williamson▼ NOP	Points	24.5stake	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	90%	+8.7%	15	✓
Trey Murphy III▼ NOP	Points	21.5fanduel	UNDER	55%LOW	60%	+2.0%	27	✗
Kris Dunn▼ LAC	Assists	3.5Proj	OVER	61%MEDIUM	40%	+7.2%	3	✗
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ LAC	Points	9.5stake	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	30%	+17.5%	22	✗
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser▼ LAC	Blocks	0.5Proj	OVER	63%MEDIUM	70%	+11.2%	—	—

Model Comparison

2 models · 8 props compared

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Props Shown

8 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Zion Williamson

Points UNDER 24.5MEDIUM

His 21.4 season PPG and 19.1 last-10 PPG are both well below 24.5, and he scored only 14 in the prior meeting with LAC. This is a cleaner under than chasing an over off one strong stretch.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Points UNDER 9.5MEDIUM

He has 7.6 PPG over his last 5 versus 10.8 on the season, and his last game against New Orleans was 4 points. That recent drop plus a modest scoring role makes the under appealing.

Kris Dunn

Assists OVER 3.5MEDIUM

He’s at 3.65 APG on the season and 3.9 APG over the last 10, so the 3.5 line sits just below his current production. The edge is positive and the variance is lower than his scoring markets.

Parlay of the Game

Zion Williamson — Points UNDER 24.5Leg 1

Derrick Jones Jr. — Points UNDER 9.5Leg 2

Kris Dunn — Assists OVER 3.5Leg 3

The under legs are supported by recent scoring regression for Zion and Derrick Jones Jr., while Dunn’s assists are more stable and sit just above his season-average production. This combination leans on role-based consistency rather than high-variance combo props.

Injury & Lineup Notes

Darius Garland is listed Out with Injury/Illness-LeftToe and should be removed from Clippers expectations. Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, DeAndre Jordan, Yves Missi, Zion Williamson, Kris Dunn, Derrick Jones Jr., John Collins, Brook Lopez, and Yanic Konan Niederhäuser are listed as Available; Nicolas Batum and Yanic Konan Niederhäuser have injury status marked Unknown in the provided data.