AI Model:

Kris Dunn▲

LAC · PG

PPG

7.8

RPG

3.3

APG

3.6

L5 PPG

6.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.2

7.8

6.6

RPG-0.3

3.3

3.0

APG0.0

3.6

SPG+0.8

1.6

2.4

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

GSW

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs GSW: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs IND: 6 pts

SAS

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs SAS: 4 pts

MEM

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MEM: 0 pts

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 5 pts

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 5 pts

CHI

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CHI: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 5 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 9 pts

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 6 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5FANDUEL

78%

REB

UNDER 6.5FANDUEL

84%

AST

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

70%

3PM

UNDER 2.5FANDUEL

86%

STL

OVER 1.5

63%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

67%

P+A

UNDER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

82%

P+R

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

88%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.3

8.9

RPG

4.7

3.7

APG

4.2

5.6

vs NOP (H2H)11 games

PPG

7.8

RPG

2.7

APG

3.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Anthony Edwards	4	24	42%	-11.4%	medium
Luka Dončić	4	22	57%	-1.5%	medium
Russell Westbrook	3	14	40%	-8.2%	medium
Amen Thompson	4	12	83%

Kris Dunn’s stat line points to a low-scoring, defensive-impact night

Dunn is averaging 7.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1.6 steals on the season, with his recent scoring sitting below that at 6.6 over the last 5 and 6.4 over the last 10. His strongest current form is on the defensive end, where he has 2.4 steals per game and 2.6 stocks over the last 5, but his offensive volume remains modest with just 26.0 minutes per game recently. Against New Orleans, his season and head-to-head scoring profile both sit near the same range as his current baseline, and the available lines for points, assists, and combo props all sit above those averages. The data leans toward a conservative projection, especially with the back-to-back context and no clear reason to expect a scoring spike.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.6(↓ from 7.8)

RPG

3.0(↓ from 3.3)

APG

3.6(→ from 3.6)

SPG

2.4(↑ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data, so the evaluation has to lean on the team and player split numbers. New Orleans has a 119.56 defensive rating and the opponent context does not point to a major scoring boost for Dunn.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kris Dunn▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	1/2	80%	8	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	2/2	70%	7	✗
Kris Dunn▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	3	✓
Kris Dunn▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	86%HIGH	—	100%	2	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✓
Kris Dunn▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	67%MEDIUM	—	70%	3	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	90%	11	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	88%HIGH	1/2	90%	15	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS5.5OVER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

PRA12.5UNDER9%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

AST3.5OVER21%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R10OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

REB3.5UNDER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

STL2UNDER40%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

3PM1UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

3PA2UNDER25%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Kris Dunn

Rebounds UNDER 6.5HIGH

His season rebound average is 3.3, his last 5 are 3.0, and his last 10 are 4.5, all well below the 6.5 line. Even with some recent growth in boards, the number is still too high relative to his typical role and production.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Herbert Jones	4	6	11	57%	79%
Jeremiah Fears	4	6	14	45%	50%
Dejounte Murray	2	5	5	50%	63%
Jordan Poole	2	4	8	100%	150%
Trey Murphy III	3	4	11	50%	69%

pointsUNDER 8.578%HIGH

His season average is 7.8 points and his last 5 are 6.6, both below the 8.5 line. The recent-gameline shows only one game above 9 points in the last 10, making the under the cleaner side.

reboundsUNDER 6.584%HIGH

He averages 3.3 rebounds on the season and 3.0 over the last 5, far below 6.5. Even his last 10 mark is just 4.5, so this line is inflated relative to his typical output.

assistsUNDER 3.570%HIGH

Season assist average is 3.6, but his last 5 are exactly 3.6 and his home mean is only 3.03. This sits close enough to the number to prefer the under given the back-to-back context and recent inconsistency.

threesUNDER 2.586%HIGH

He averages 1.03 made threes and 1.1 over the last 5, which is well short of 2.5. The value data also flags the under as the strongest side on this prop.

stealsOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 steals on the season and 2.4 over the last 5, with 2.0 over the last 10. The volatility is real, but the baseline still supports a slight over lean.

stocksOVER 1.567%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.71 and the last 5 are 2.6, with 2.1 over the last 10. Defensive activity remains his most reliable path to clearing a modest line.

paUNDER 14.582%HIGH

Using season averages, points plus assists comes out to 11.4, far below 14.5. Combo props carry extra variance, but the gap here is large enough to favor the under.

prUNDER 15.588%HIGH

His season points plus rebounds average is 11.1, and his recent scoring plus rebounding does not justify a line this high. This is one of the clearest under spots in the data.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS