AI Model:

Nicolas Batum—

LAC · PF

PPG

4.1

RPG

2.5

APG

0.9

L5 PPG

2.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.7

4.1

2.4

RPG-1.3

2.5

1.2

APG-0.1

0.9

0.8

SPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 3.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

3.5

MIN

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs MIN: 0 pts

NOP

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NOP: 9 pts

GSW

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs GSW: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs IND: 0 pts

SAS

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs SAS: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MEM: 0 pts

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 3 pts

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 6 pts

CHI

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CHI: 3 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 0 pts

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 3.5STAKE

78%

REB

UNDER 1.5STAKE

70%

AST

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

3PM

OVER 0.5

58%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

67%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

74%

P+R

UNDER 5.5STAKE

63%

P+A

UNDER 3.5STAKE

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

2.5

3.2

RPG

2.1

2.7

APG

1.4

0.9

vs NOP (H2H)15 games

PPG

5.9

RPG

2.6

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Naz Reid	4	10	40%	-0.4%	medium
Royce O'Neale	4	7	58%	+9.6%	medium
Justin Champagnie	2	6	50%	-7.1%	low
Julius Randle	4	6	50%

Batum’s minutes cap keeps the ceiling low

Nicolas Batum has been trending below his season baseline, averaging just 2.4 PPG over his last 5 and 2.7 PPG over his last 10 versus 4.1 PPG for the season. His minutes have also dipped to 11.2 in the last 5 and 13.0 in the last 10, which limits his chances to clear modest counting stats. The matchup is not enough to force a usage spike, even with his stronger 15-game history against New Orleans at 5.93 PPG and 20.8 MPG. With both teams on a back-to-back and Batum’s recent role still limited, the lean is toward the under on most volume-based props.

Stat Trends

PPG

2.4(↓ from 4.1)

RPG

1.2(↓ from 2.5)

APG

0.8(↓ from 0.9)

3PM

0.8(↓ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available, so the only clear edge comes from the team context and opponent profile. New Orleans has a 119.56 defensive rating and a 100 pace, while Batum’s recent usage is too low to rely on matchup-driven upside.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Nicolas Batum▼	Points	3.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	70%
Nicolas Batum▼	Rebounds	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%
Nicolas Batum▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Nicolas Batum▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Nicolas Batum▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	70%
Nicolas Batum▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	—	90%
Nicolas Batum▼	P+R	5.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Nicolas Batum▼	P+A	3.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

P+R6.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)7/1547%▼

P+A5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x7/1547%▼

PTS3OVER26%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x6/1540%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB3UNDER7%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)4/1527%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)7/1547%▼

AST1UNDER24%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 6x5/1533%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PA3UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x6/1540%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA8OVER9%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x6/1540%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

3PM1UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1540%▼

Featured Pick

Nicolas Batum

Points UNDER 3.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because Batum’s season mark is 4.1 PPG, but his last 5 and last 10 are only 2.4 and 2.7, respectively. With minutes down to 11.2 recently and both teams on a back-to-back, the under has the strongest combination of form and role support.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Derik Queen	2	3	4	67%	67%
Jordan Poole	1	2	6	50%	63%
Jeremiah Fears	2	2	2	100%	100%
Karlo Matković	2	1	0	0%	0%
Herbert Jones	2	1	2	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 3.578%HIGH

He is averaging 4.1 PPG for the season but only 2.4 PPG over his last 5 and 2.7 over his last 10, with minutes down to 11.2 recently. The recent role suggests his scoring floor is fragile even against a favorable opponent history.

reboundsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

Batum is at 2.5 RPG season-long, but only 1.2 RPG over the last 5 and 1.8 over the last 10. Reduced minutes make the under slightly safer than the season average implies.

assistsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 APG on the season and 0.8 APG over the last 5, so a 0.5 line is reachable if he logs normal rotation minutes. The recent minutes dip keeps confidence modest.

threesOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.27 made threes per game on the season and 0.9 over the last 5, which is still above a half-made-three line. Recent volume has been lighter, so this is not a high-confidence over.

stealsUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.7 SPG, but it drops to 0.2 over the last 5 and 0.3 over the last 10. The recent trend and low-minute role make the under the better side.

blocksUNDER 0.574%HIGH

He averages only 0.3 BPG on the season and 0.2 over the last 5. At a 0.5 line, he needs an above-average defensive game to get there.

prUNDER 5.563%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is 6.6, but the last 5 combined scoring and rebounding output has been especially weak. With recent minutes around 11.2, the under is still favored despite the low threshold.

paUNDER 3.561%MEDIUM

He averages 5.0 points plus assists on the season, but the recent production is softer at 3.2 over the last 5. The line is beatable if he gets a few shots, but the current role leans under.

timelineUNDER 3.5 PTS