AI Model:

Yves Missi—

NOP · C

PPG

5.5

RPG

5.6

APG

1.2

L5 PPG

4.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.3

5.5

4.2

RPG+1.4

5.6

7.0

APG+0.4

1.2

1.6

SPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

BPG+1.1

1.5

2.6

UNDER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

11.5

UTA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs UTA: 5 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 9 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 2 pts

SAC

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAC: 7 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 4 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 2 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 6 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 5 pts

DAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs DAL: 4 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 4 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 11.5DRAFTKINGS

78%

REB

UNDER 13.5FANDUEL

82%

AST

UNDER 1.5

74%

BLK

OVER 1.5STAKE

63%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

67%

P+R

UNDER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

80%

R+A

OVER 6.5STAKE

58%

P+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

76%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

3.9

6.1

RPG

6.1

5.9

APG

1.7

0.8

vs LAC (H2H)6 games

PPG

7.7

RPG

8.7

APG

2.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Maxime Raynaud	3	11	80%	+25.6%	medium
Jaren Jackson Jr.	4	10	42%	-17.6%	medium
Deandre Ayton	4	8	67%	+12.3%	medium
Alperen Sengun	3	8	36%

Missi’s rim protection keeps his floor intact, but scoring remains capped

Yves Missi has been stable overall, with season averages of 5.5 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 1.5 BPG across 57 games. His recent scoring sits a bit below season form at 4.2 PPG over the last 5, while rebounds have held up at 7.0 and blocks have spiked to 2.6, showing his value is more defensive than offensive right now. Against LA Clippers specifically, he has 7.666666666666667 PPG, 8.666666666666666 RPG, and 2.1666666666666665 APG across 6 games, but his most recent game versus them was just 4 points and 6 rebounds in 19 minutes. With both teams on a back-to-back and no injury issue listed, the strongest angle is still on rebounds and blocks rather than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

4.2(↓ from 5.5)

RPG

7.0(↑ from 5.6)

BPG

2.6(↑ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

The listed key defenders are Brook Lopez, Nicolas Batum, and Derrick Jones Jr., but the available data shows only limited minutes and no clear full-game matchup signal. The opponent profile is neutral-to-slightly favorable for scoring suppression, and there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on beyond that.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Yves Missi▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	100%	11	✓
Yves Missi▼	Rebounds	13.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	100%	11	✓
Yves Missi▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	1/2	80%	4	✗
Yves Missi▼	Blocks	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✗
Yves Missi▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	67%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✗
Yves Missi▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	1/2	100%	22	✗
Yves Missi▼	R+A	6.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	15	✓
Yves Missi▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	76%HIGH	1/2	60%	15	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS8.5UNDER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)3/1916%+30.9% edgeScorecard changed -3.0▼

REB7.5UNDER35%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)7/1937%+16.9% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)6/1932%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

BLK2UNDER8%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (10/20)7/1937%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA13OVER48%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/1942%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/1932%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x11/1958%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

AST1OVER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x7/1937%Confidence moved HIGH to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTM1UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x6/1932%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTA2OVER7%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/1942%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

Featured Pick

Yves Missi

Rebounds UNDER 13.5HIGH

This is the cleanest mismatch between line and baseline: Missi’s season rebounding average is 5.6, last-5 is 7.0, and last-10 is 5.7. Even with some recent rebounding upside, 13.5 is so far above his normal range that the under is the strongest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ivica Zubac	1	7	6	50%	50%
Brook Lopez	4	5	5	40%	40%
Isaiah Jackson	3	5	4	50%	50%
John Collins	4	3	9	50%	58%
Jordan Miller	3	3	5	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 11.578%HIGH

His season mean is 5.46 PPG and the last 5 is only 4.2, well below this 11.5 line. Even with a strong head-to-head scoring average, his recent production and 19 mpg season workload make the under the clearer side.

reboundsUNDER 13.582%HIGH

Missi averages 5.65 RPG on the season and 5.7 over the last 5, which is far below 13.5. His rebound variance is high, but not nearly enough to justify needing a massive outlier night.

assistsUNDER 1.574%HIGH

He averages 1.18 APG on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so 1.5 is slightly above his typical output. The home split is better at 1.44 APG, but overall volume still favors the under.

blocksOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

Blocks are his best statistical lane at 1.5 per game for the season and 2.6 over the last 5. The recent form supports an over, though the variance is still meaningful.

stocksOVER 1.567%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.82 and recent mean is 2.5, both clearing 1.5. Since blocks are driving most of the production, this remains a solid but volatile over.

prUNDER 21.580%HIGH

Using season means, his points plus rebounds profile is far below 21.5 at 11.11 combined. Even the recent lift in rebounds does not offset the low scoring volume enough.

raOVER 6.558%MEDIUM

His season rebound-plus-assist average is 6.83, and recent form is around 6.7 with better home assist output at 1.44. This is close enough to the line to lean over, but the margin is thin.

paUNDER 7.576%HIGH

He averages 6.66 points plus assists on the season and 5.8 over the last 10, both under 7.5. The recent scoring dip is the main reason to stay under.

timelineUNDER 11.5 PTS