Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 11 | 80% | +25.6% | medium |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 4 | 10 | 42% | -17.6% | medium |
| Deandre Ayton | 4 | 8 | 67% | +12.3% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 3 | 8 | 36% |
Yves Missi has been stable overall, with season averages of 5.5 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 1.5 BPG across 57 games. His recent scoring sits a bit below season form at 4.2 PPG over the last 5, while rebounds have held up at 7.0 and blocks have spiked to 2.6, showing his value is more defensive than offensive right now. Against LA Clippers specifically, he has 7.666666666666667 PPG, 8.666666666666666 RPG, and 2.1666666666666665 APG across 6 games, but his most recent game versus them was just 4 points and 6 rebounds in 19 minutes. With both teams on a back-to-back and no injury issue listed, the strongest angle is still on rebounds and blocks rather than points.
The listed key defenders are Brook Lopez, Nicolas Batum, and Derrick Jones Jr., but the available data shows only limited minutes and no clear full-game matchup signal. The opponent profile is neutral-to-slightly favorable for scoring suppression, and there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on beyond that.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yves Missi▼ | Points | 11.5 | UNDER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 11 | ✓ |
Yves Missi▼ | Rebounds | 13.5 | UNDER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 11 | ✓ |
Yves Missi▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 4 | ✗ |
Yves Missi▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Yves Missi▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 67%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 1 | ✗ |
Yves Missi▼ | P+R | 21.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 1/2 | 100% | 22 | ✗ |
Yves Missi▼ | R+A | 6.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 15 | ✓ |
Yves Missi▼ | P+A | 7.5 | UNDER | 76%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 15 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest mismatch between line and baseline: Missi’s season rebounding average is 5.6, last-5 is 7.0, and last-10 is 5.7. Even with some recent rebounding upside, 13.5 is so far above his normal range that the under is the strongest play.
| medium |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 7 | 20% | -34.4% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Zubac | 1 | 7 | 6 | 50% | 50% |
| Brook Lopez | 4 | 5 | 5 | 40% | 40% |
| Isaiah Jackson | 3 | 5 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| John Collins | 4 | 3 | 9 | 50% | 58% |
| Jordan Miller | 3 | 3 | 5 | 50% | 50% |
His season mean is 5.46 PPG and the last 5 is only 4.2, well below this 11.5 line. Even with a strong head-to-head scoring average, his recent production and 19 mpg season workload make the under the clearer side.
Missi averages 5.65 RPG on the season and 5.7 over the last 5, which is far below 13.5. His rebound variance is high, but not nearly enough to justify needing a massive outlier night.
He averages 1.18 APG on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so 1.5 is slightly above his typical output. The home split is better at 1.44 APG, but overall volume still favors the under.
Blocks are his best statistical lane at 1.5 per game for the season and 2.6 over the last 5. The recent form supports an over, though the variance is still meaningful.
His season stocks average is 1.82 and recent mean is 2.5, both clearing 1.5. Since blocks are driving most of the production, this remains a solid but volatile over.
Using season means, his points plus rebounds profile is far below 21.5 at 11.11 combined. Even the recent lift in rebounds does not offset the low scoring volume enough.
His season rebound-plus-assist average is 6.83, and recent form is around 6.7 with better home assist output at 1.44. This is close enough to the line to lean over, but the margin is thin.
He averages 6.66 points plus assists on the season and 5.8 over the last 10, both under 7.5. The recent scoring dip is the main reason to stay under.