AI Model:

Dejounte Murray▲

NOP · PG

PPG

19.4

RPG

5.3

APG

5.9

L5 PPG

22.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.2

19.4

22.6

RPG+0.7

5.3

6.0

APG-0.3

5.9

5.6

SPG-0.1

1.7

1.6

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 19.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

19.5

BOS

2025-01-31

2025-01-31 vs BOS: 4 pts

GSW

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs GSW: 13 pts

UTA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs UTA: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 15 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 19 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 27 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 35 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 17 pts

Over 19.5

Under 19.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 19.5

58%

REB

UNDER 5.5

56%

AST

OVER 5.5

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5

54%

STL

OVER 1.5

53%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

90%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

57%

OVER 3.5

61%

P+A

OVER 22.5BETMGM

54%

P+R

UNDER 21.5BETMGM

57%

PRA

UNDER 28.5BETMGM

56%

R+A

UNDER 11.5BETMGM

58%

UNDER 0.5

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

19.1

20.4

RPG

5.1

7.0

APG

5.7

6.7

vs LAC (H2H)13 games

PPG

18.2

RPG

6.5

APG

7.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	2	9	60%	-8.4%	low
Amen Thompson	2	7	43%	-5.5%	low
Jalen Brunson	1	6	40%	-8.4%	low
Kris Dunn	2	6	63%	+1.6%

Murray’s all-around role keeps him in the mix, but Clippers defense and a recent scoring swing add risk

Dejounte Murray is averaging 19.4 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 5.9 assists on the season, and his last 5 games have climbed to 22.6 points with 29.2 minutes. The form is trending up, but his last 10 games show a more modest 17.9 points and 25.5 minutes, which tempers the hot streak. This matchup has some history: he just posted 17 points and 11 assists against LA Clippers on 2026-03-18, and his 13-game sample vs this opponent sits at 18.15 points and 7.77 assists. The back-to-back context and the opponent’s scoring suppression profile make the ceiling playable but not automatic.

Stat Trends

PPG

22.6(↑ from 19.4)

RPG

6.0(↑ from 5.3)

APG

5.6(→ from 5.9)

Stocks

1.6(↓ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

His recent 2026-03-18 game against LA Clippers produced 17 points and 11 assists, and his 13-game history vs this opponent is 18.15 points, 6.46 rebounds, and 7.77 assists. The available defender data does not provide a clear single matchup edge; no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed players should be inferred.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Dejounte Murray▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	80%
Dejounte Murray▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Dejounte Murray▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Dejounte Murray▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Dejounte Murray▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Dejounte Murray▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	—	80%
Dejounte Murray▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	50%
Dejounte Murray▼	Turnovers	3.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	40%
Dejounte Murray▼	P+A	22.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Dejounte Murray▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Dejounte Murray▼	PRA	28.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Dejounte Murray▼	R+A	11.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Dejounte Murray▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

3PA4.5UNDER49%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x7/1450%▼

PRA31.5UNDER17%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x3/1421%+23.0% edge▼

REB5.5UNDER9%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)6/1443%+5.2% edge▼

3PM1.5UNDER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x5/1436%+9.3% edge▼

R+A11.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)7/1450%▼

P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)6/1443%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)5/1436%▼

PTS18.5OVER7%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)4/1429%▼

AST6.5UNDER0%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x5/1436%+10.8% edge▼

FTM2.5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x7/1450%▼

FTA2.5UNDER6%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x7/1450%▼

STL1UNDER13%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)6/1443%▼

Featured Pick

Dejounte Murray

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the profile: season blocks are 0.2 and the last 5 are 0.0. Even with a conservative prop approach, a 0.5 line is too high for his block production.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kris Dunn	2	6	5	50%	63%
Darius Garland	1	3	0	0%	0%
Derrick Jones Jr.	2	2	5	100%	125%
Bennedict Mathurin	1	2	2	100%	100%
Brook Lopez	2	2	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 19.558%MEDIUM

Season mean is 19.44, while last 10 is only 17.9 and the recent head-to-head vs LA Clippers is 18.15 PPG across 13 games. His last 5 scoring is up at 22.6, but that sits well above season level and risks regression.

reboundsUNDER 5.556%MEDIUM

He averages 5.3 rebounds on the season and 5.3 over the last 10, with a home mean of 4.25. The away split is stronger, but this game is in New Orleans and his home rebounding profile is below the line.

assistsOVER 5.555%MEDIUM

Murray’s season assist average is 5.9 and his last 20 is 6.2, which supports a modest over. He also has 7.77 assists per game in 13 meetings vs LA Clippers, giving this number some support despite recent volatility.

threesOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He averages 1.78 made threes this season and 2.1 over the last 20, both above this line. The recent sample is also stable enough to support at least two makes if volume holds near current levels.

stealsOVER 1.553%MEDIUM

Season steals are 1.7 and last 5 are 1.6, so the profile fits this threshold. Variance is still present, but his defensive event rate is strong enough to lean over.

blocksUNDER 0.590%HIGH

His season block average is only 0.2, and his last 5 is 0.0. Even though the sportsbook line is 0.5, the under is strongly supported by the season profile.

stocksOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.89 stocks on the season and 1.7 over the last 10, which clears this type of combo threshold. The standard deviation is manageable relative to the mean, though not low enough for top-tier confidence.

turnoversOVER 3.561%MEDIUM

His recent turnover rates are high at 3.4 over the last 5 and 3.6 over the last 10, with 3.1 across the last 20. That puts pressure on the over even if the official line sits around this range.

paOVER 22.554%MEDIUM

He averages 25.3 points+assists on the season using 19.4 points and 5.9 assists, and his last 20 is 26.0 using 19.8 and 6.2. This is a higher-variance combo, so confidence stays moderate.

prUNDER 21.557%MEDIUM

His season points+rebounds average is 24.77, but the last 10 points have dipped to 17.9 and rebounds are only 5.3. With the recent scoring pullback, this line is less comfortable than it first appears.

praUNDER 28.556%MEDIUM

Using season means, his points+rebounds+assists average is 30.53, but the recent 10-game scoring dip and back-to-back setup reduce margin. Combo variance is high, so the under is the safer stance at this number.

raUNDER 11.558%MEDIUM

His season rebounds+assists average is 11.2 and his last 10 is 11.1, both slightly below the line. This is a tight threshold, but the season baseline leans just under.

double_doubleUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

He has strong assist and rebound totals, but his season profile does not consistently show double-double production. The recent 17-point, 11-assist game shows the path, yet it is not the baseline.

timelineUNDER 19.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Murray’s all-around role keeps him in the mix, but Clippers defense and a recent scoring swing add risk

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 19.5 PTS