AI Model:

Saddiq Bey▲

NOP · SF

PPG

17.3

RPG

5.7

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

17.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.3

17.3

17.0

RPG+0.3

5.7

6.0

APG+0.3

2.5

2.8

SPG+0.4

1.0

1.4

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

UNDER 21.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

21.5

UTA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs UTA: 24 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 14 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 18 pts

SAC

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAC: 20 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 19 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 23 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 5 pts

DAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs DAL: 23 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 25 pts

Over 21.5

Under 21.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 21.5FANDUEL

67%

REB

UNDER 5.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

74%

3PM

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

72%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

UNDER 2

59%

P+R

UNDER 26.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

P+A

UNDER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.4

21.5

RPG

6.0

4.9

APG

2.7

3.1

vs LAC (H2H)10 games

PPG

15.3

RPG

5.0

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Dillon Brooks	3	14	40%	-5.1%	medium
Julius Randle	3	14	55%	+4.9%	medium
Rui Hachimura	3	13	0%	-45.1%	medium
P.J. Washington	4	12	93%

Bey’s scoring form is solid, but the Clippers matchup keeps the ceiling in check

Saddiq Bey has been productive lately, with 17.0 PPG over his last 5 and 18.0 PPG over his last 10, while playing 31.4 and 32.8 minutes in those spans. His season line of 17.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG, and 2.5 APG is steady, but his recent 20.1 PPG over the last 20 looks a bit above the season baseline and suggests some regression risk. Against LA Clippers, he has averaged 15.3 PPG in 10 games, and the matchup data shows a defense with a 112.97 rating and 1.001 three suppression. With both teams on a back-to-back, volume should stay relevant, but this is not a spot to overpay for inflated lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.0(→ from 17.3)

RPG

6.0(→ from 5.7)

APG

2.8(↑ from 2.5)

3PM

1.4(↓ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so no specific defender matchup data. The opponent profile shows a 112.97 defensive rating and 1.001 three suppression, which does not strongly support an inflated scoring or volume-over prop.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Saddiq Bey▼	Points	21.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	20	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	6	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	90%	6	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	90%	3	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	P+R	26.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	26	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	26	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS20.5OVER25%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%▼

3PM2.5OVER9%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)12/2060%+13.3% edge▼

FTA4OVER3%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼

PRA29.5OVER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

REB5.5OVER11%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

AST2.5UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

FTM3.5UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R25UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

STL1UNDER35%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

3PA6UNDER7%gbtAvoid (7/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Saddiq Bey

Assists UNDER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the card because Bey’s season average is 2.5 APG and his last-10 is also 2.5, far below the 4.5 line. Recent usage does not show a meaningful assist spike, and the projection gap is large enough to withstand normal variance.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brook Lopez	4	8	6	50%	50%
Jordan Miller	3	7	4	67%	67%
Kawhi Leonard	3	7	6	60%	60%
John Collins	4	7	14	67%	78%
Derrick Jones Jr.	4	5	4	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 21.567%MEDIUM

His season mean is 17.3 PPG and his last-10 is 18.0, both well below 21.5. He also averages 15.3 PPG in 10 games vs this opponent, so this number is higher than his recent and historical baseline.

reboundsUNDER 5.558%MEDIUM

Bey’s season rebound average is 5.7, but his last-10 is 5.3 and his vs-opponent mark is 5.0. With a line at 5.5, this is close, but the under is slightly safer given the lower opponent history.

assistsUNDER 4.574%HIGH

He averages only 2.5 APG on the season and 2.5 over the last 10, which is far below 4.5. Even in his recent form, the assist ceiling has not moved enough to justify the over.

threesUNDER 3.572%HIGH

His season mean is 1.95 made threes and his last-5 is 1.4, both below the 3.5 line. Recent game logs show only one 3+ three-game in the last 10, so the under has clear support.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 is usually within range. This is a low threshold, but volatility keeps confidence modest.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.03 and last-10 is 1.4, which is still not comfortably above 1.5. The metric has meaningful variance, so the under is the more conservative side.

turnoversUNDER 259%MEDIUM

He has a 1.2 turnover average over the last 10 and 1.5 over the last 20, suggesting he is typically below 2.0. This is a projected line from season usage and recent logs.

prUNDER 26.570%HIGH

His season points plus rebounds profile is 17.3 and 5.7, which sums to 23.0 before any game-to-game fluctuation. A 26.5 line is above that baseline and is tough to clear consistently.

paUNDER 21.563%MEDIUM

Bey’s season points and assists combine to 19.8, and his last-10 combination is still only 20.5. The line sits above both, making the under the cleaner side.

timelineUNDER 21.5 PTS