Jordan Goodwin▼

PHX · PF

PPG

8.7

RPG

4.7

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

5.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.9

8.7

5.8

RPG-0.3

4.7

4.4

APG-0.4

2.2

1.8

SPG-0.4

1.4

1.0

BPG0.0

0.2

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

PHI

2026-02-07

2026-02-07 vs PHI: 7 pts

DAL

2026-02-10

2026-02-10 vs DAL: 8 pts

OKC

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs OKC: 12 pts

SAS

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs SAS: 10 pts

ORL

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs ORL: 17 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 6 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 8 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 6 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 3 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5STAKE

64%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

67%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

58%

3PM

UNDER 1.5STAKE

56%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

62%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

81%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

UNDER 0.5

74%

PRA

UNDER 16.5FANDUEL

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.7

7.5

RPG

4.7

4.5

APG

2.0

2.2

vs SAS (H2H)9 games

PPG

9.9

RPG

6.1

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
De'Aaron Fox	3	11	33%	-7.7%	medium
Anthony Edwards	2	11	64%	+16.1%	low
Cade Cunningham	2	9	33%	-7.7%	low
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	3	8	54%

Goodwin’s defense-driven role keeps his floor intact, but scoring upside is limited

Jordan Goodwin is producing 8.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG, and 2.2 APG on the season across 22.2 MPG, with his recent form trending down to 5.8 PPG over the last 5. His last 10 is steadier at 8.3 PPG, 4.2 RPG, and 1.8 APG, which lines up closely with his season baseline rather than the weaker short-term dip. This matchup comes with a Spurs defense that has a 111.76 defensive rating and a 100 pace, so the environment is not especially fast, and his history vs this opponent is solid at 9.9 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 3.0 APG in 9 games. With his scoring variance still fairly high and his recent minutes only around 19.6 MPG over the last 5, the safer angle is leaning toward lower-end volume props rather than points aggression.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.8(↓ from 8.7)

RPG

4.4(→ from 4.7)

APG

1.8(↓ from 2.2)

Stocks

1.2(↓ from 1.6)

3PM

0.8(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed Spurs players; the available opponent context shows a 111.76 defensive rating and 100 pace. His prior results vs San Antonio are respectable, but the current environment does not point to a major pace boost.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jordan Goodwin▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	5	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	8	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	81%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	50%	3	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	PRA	16.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	13	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS7.5UNDER18%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

REB5.5UNDER46%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA14.5UNDER11%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

P+R13.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

AST1.5UNDER14%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Jordan Goodwin

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the data because his season average is just 0.2 blocks and he has no meaningful recent shot-block volume. The under aligns with both the season baseline and the last 10 trend, making it the most stable option.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
De'Aaron Fox	3	11	8	33%	33%
Devin Vassell	4	6	5	50%	63%
Victor Wembanyama	3	5	7	50%	58%
Julian Champagnie	4	4	12	67%	100%
Dylan Harper	3	4	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 8.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.66, but the last 5 is only 5.8 and his trend is down. That makes 8.5 a fair number, and the recent scoring dip plus 22.2 season MPG suggest limited margin for an over.

reboundsUNDER 5.567%MEDIUM

He averages 4.71 rebounds on the season and 4.4 over the last 5, both below 5.5. Even though he has a strong historical line vs this opponent at 6.11 RPG, the season baseline is still the more reliable anchor.

assistsUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

Season assists are 2.19 and last 5 is 1.8, so the under has a small but real edge. The 1.5 season standard deviation also signals meaningful variance, keeping confidence moderate.

threesUNDER 1.556%MEDIUM

He averages 1.51 threes seasonally, but just 0.8 over the last 5 and 1.4 over the last 10. That recent drop makes the over less appealing at a 1.5 line.

stealsUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

The season average is 1.4 steals, but a 1.5 line is still aggressive given his last 10 at 1.1 and last 5 at 1.0. The over is too dependent on event-driven production.

blocksUNDER 0.581%HIGH

He averages only 0.2 blocks per game, so the under is the clear side. There is not enough shot-block volume for a 0.5 line to project an over.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.64, but the last 5 is down to 1.2 and the last 10 is 1.3. Because stocks are volatile, the season edge is not strong enough to push confidence higher.

turnoversUNDER 0.574%HIGH

He is only at 0.3 turnovers over the last 10 and 0.4 over the last 5, so low turnover volume is the norm. A projected 0.5 line leans under based on recent ball security.

praUNDER 16.557%MEDIUM

His season blend of 8.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.2 assists adds to 15.6, which sits below 16.5. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under is preferable but not ultra-strong.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS