AI Model:

Oso Ighodaro▲

PHX · C

PPG

6.1

RPG

4.9

APG

2.1

L5 PPG

7.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

6.1

7.8

RPG+0.9

4.9

5.8

APG+1.5

2.1

3.6

SPG0.0

1.0

BPG0.0

0.6

UNDER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

LAL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAL: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAC: 14 pts

CHI

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs CHI: 10 pts

NOP

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NOP: 13 pts

CHA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHA: 2 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 8 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 5 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 4 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 16 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 11.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

REB

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

74%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

99%

STL

OVER 0.5

63%

BLK

OVER 0.5

60%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

58%

UNDER 2

65%

P+A

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

P+R

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

UNDER 0.5

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.9

8.9

RPG

5.3

6.2

APG

2.5

4.0

vs SAS (H2H)5 games

PPG

5.8

RPG

3.6

APG

3.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nikola Jokić	3	15	75%	+4.6%	medium
Jaxson Hayes	4	13	0%	-65.4%	medium
Rudy Gobert	3	10	80%	+14.6%	medium
Deandre Ayton	4	10	100%

Oso Ighodaro’s minutes trend supports the counting stats, but the books are shading toward modest output

Oso Ighodaro is trending up, with his last 5 rising to 7.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 3.6 APG versus season marks of 6.1, 4.9, and 2.1. The bigger driver is playing time: he’s up to 27.4 MPG over the last 5 and 28.8 MPG over the last 10, well above his 21.4 season average. Against San Antonio, the team context is not especially restrictive, but his head-to-head production is still modest at 5.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 3.2 APG in 5 games. With several books offering elevated lines relative to his season baseline, the safer lean is mostly to the under on the higher numbers and to be selective on combo props.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.8(↑ from 6.1)

RPG

5.8(↑ from 4.9)

APG

3.6(↑ from 2.1)

Stocks

1.6(→ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is provided beyond the listed key defenders, so there is no specific defender matchup data. San Antonio’s opponent profile shows a 111.76 defensive rating and 100 pace, which suggests a playable environment rather than an extreme slowdown.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Oso Ighodaro▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	70%	15	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	7	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	1/2	50%	7	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	P+A	18.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	22	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	22	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

P+R15.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

P+A12.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A10UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Oso Ighodaro

Assists UNDER 3.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value signal in the data: his season average is 2.1 APG, and the value-prop section shows the under as the best side at multiple books. The recent 3.6 APG stretch is real, but it has not moved his baseline enough to justify 3.5 as a strong over.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Victor Wembanyama	3	9	14	55%	59%
Luke Kornet	3	8	7	100%	100%
Keldon Johnson	4	3	5	25%	31%
Harrison Barnes	4	2	9	67%	75%
De'Aaron Fox	3	2	2	25%	25%

pointsUNDER 11.572%HIGH

His season mean is 6.1 PPG and even his recent 8.6 PPG last 10 is still below 11.5. The under is also supported by his vs-opponent mark of 5.8 PPG across 5 games.

reboundsUNDER 5.567%MEDIUM

He averages 4.9 RPG on the season and 5.3 RPG at home, both below 5.5. Recent form is better at 6.6 RPG last 10, but that is still a modest cushion and variance remains meaningful.

assistsUNDER 3.574%HIGH

His season average is 2.1 APG, while the last 5 at 3.6 APG is a short-term spike that sits above his baseline. The value-prop data also shows the under side as the best edge on 3.5 assists.

threesUNDER 0.599%HIGH

He averages 0.0 threes per game season, last 5, last 10, and last 20, with 0.0 fg3mpg in every split provided. There is no volume signal for an over.

stealsOVER 0.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 SPG on the season and 1.0 over the last 5, so 0.5 is a low bar. The main caution is volatility, but the baseline volume supports a small over lean.

blocksOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 BPG on the season and 0.9 BPG over the last 10, which clears 0.5. The recent block rate has been solid enough to justify a modest over lean.

stocksOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.58 stocks on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, so the line is basically aligned with his normal output. This is viable, but the standard deviation on stocks is high enough to keep confidence capped.

turnoversUNDER 265%MEDIUM

He averages 1.2 turnovers per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, both below 2.0. Even with a bigger role recently, the turnover baseline stays manageable.

paUNDER 18.561%MEDIUM

His season PA baseline is 8.2 using 6.1 points and 2.1 assists, well under 18.5. Recent minutes are up, but this combo line is far above his normal production.

prUNDER 18.564%MEDIUM

He averages 10.9 PR using season scoring and rebounding, and even his recent form is only 14.4 PR from the last 10. The combo is inflated relative to his baseline, so the under is the cleaner side.

double_doubleUNDER 0.570%HIGH

He has solid counting-stats utility, but the season averages of 6.1 points and 4.9 rebounds are still short of true double-double territory. The recent spike helps, but not enough to make a double-double likely.

timelineUNDER 11.5 PTS