AI Model:

Brandin Podziemski▼

GSW · PG

PPG

13.0

RPG

5.3

APG

3.7

L5 PPG

15.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.8

13.0

15.8

RPG+0.1

5.3

5.4

APG+0.9

3.7

4.6

SPG+0.1

1.1

1.2

BPG0.0

0.2

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

LAL

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs LAL: 9 pts

LAC

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs LAC: 22 pts

HOU

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs HOU: 26 pts

OKC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs OKC: 17 pts

UTA

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs UTA: 14 pts

CHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHI: 9 pts

MIN

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MIN: 25 pts

NYK

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs NYK: 25 pts

WAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs WAS: 10 pts

BOS

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs BOS: 10 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

61%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

84%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

59%

UNDER 2

56%

PRA

UNDER 22.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

P+A

OVER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

P+R

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

R+A

UNDER 9.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.5

15.1

RPG

6.7

7.0

APG

5.0

3.9

vs DET (H2H)2 games

PPG

11.0

RPG

6.5

APG

6.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Christian Braun	4	12	67%	+21.1%	medium
Kris Dunn	3	10	81%	+16.9%	medium
Austin Reaves	3	10	43%	-2.7%	medium
Jaylen Wells	3	9	17%

Podziemski’s multi-category volume is holding, but the scoring ceiling is capped

Brandin Podziemski is averaging 13.0 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 3.7 assists on the season, with his last 5 jumping to 15.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists. His recent minutes have climbed to 31.2 in the last 5 and 33.7 in the last 10, which supports usable volume, but his trend is listed as down and his season baseline still matters more than the hot stretch. Detroit’s defense profile shows a 109.87 defensive rating with scoring suppression of -1.254 and three suppression of -1.145, which leans slightly against a big shooting night. The matchup data does not include a specific defender matchup to target, so the prop read is driven more by usage, recent form, and the book lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.8(↑ from 13.0)

RPG

5.4(→ from 5.3)

APG

4.6(↑ from 3.7)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 109.87 defensive rating, with scoring suppression of -1.254 and three suppression of -1.145. There is no specific defender matchup data to target here, so the read is based on the team-level defensive environment rather than an individual cover man.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Brandin Podziemski▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	15	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	6	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	—	90%	1	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	PRA	22.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	24	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	P+A	16.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	18	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	21	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	9	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA25.5OVER44%gbt_praDecent Leg (15/20)12/2060%+8.5% edgeConfidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

PTS15.5OVER20%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 2x12/2060%+7.6% edge▼

REB5.5OVER18%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%+13.3% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.339; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A22OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

AST4.5OVER12%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.168▼

R+A10.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼

P+R23.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

STL1UNDER32%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PA6UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTM2.5UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTA4UNDER12%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

3PM2.5OVER5%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed +0.064▼

Featured Pick

Brandin Podziemski

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the data: he averages 1.81 threes on the season, 2.4 in the last 10, and the value props show a 9.3% edge with strong positive EV. Even with Detroit’s three suppression, the line is still below his season output and his recent shot volume from deep.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Duncan Robinson	2	5	0	0%	0%
Tobias Harris	1	3	2	50%	50%
Daniss Jenkins	2	3	2	100%	100%
Ausar Thompson	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jalen Duren	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.99 points and the DraftKings line is 13.5, while the last 5 at 15.8 is running hot relative to season baseline. The opponent context and his down trend make me skeptical of an over based only on the recent run.

reboundsOVER 5.560%MEDIUM

He averages 5.3 rebounds on the season and 5.4 over the last 5, with value data showing a positive edge at 5.5. The recent minutes bump to 31.2 and his 6.4 rebounds in the last 10 support a slight over lean.

assistsOVER 3.557%MEDIUM

Season assists are 3.69 and the last 5 are 4.6, so the 3.5 line sits below both his season and recent averages. Recent minutes of 31.2 and 33.7 in the last 10 keep this playable, though variance is still notable.

threesOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.81 threes per game on the season and 2.4 in the last 10, which clears 1.5 comfortably. Value data also shows a positive edge on the over, and his recent fg3mpg has been 2.0 to 2.4.

stealsUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 1.1, below the 1.5 line, and his last 10 is also only 1.1. Even with active defensive stats, the line is asking for an above-baseline outcome.

blocksUNDER 0.584%HIGH

He averages just 0.2 blocks per game on the season and 0.2 in the last 5. At a 0.5 line, the under is strongly supported by his normal shot-blocking profile.

stocksUNDER 1.559%MEDIUM

His combined season average for steals plus blocks is 1.3, and recent stocks have been 1.2 in both the last 10 and last 20. That sits below the 1.5 threshold, making the under the cleaner side.

turnoversUNDER 256%MEDIUM

His recent turnover rates are 1.8 in the last 5, 1.7 in the last 10, and 1.9 in the last 20, which are all below a projected 2.0 line. He has had some 3- and 4-turnover games, but the median recent profile still leans under.

praUNDER 22.555%MEDIUM

His season PRA based on the provided means is 22.99, but the recent sample is inflated by a 16.7-point last 10 scoring stretch and higher minutes. Because combo props are higher-variance, I’d rather stay slightly under the 22.5 number than chase the recent pace.

paOVER 16.556%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is 16.69, and the last 5 jumps to 20.4. That is supported by a recent minutes bump, though the edge is modest and the over-bias caution keeps confidence in check.

prUNDER 18.554%MEDIUM

Season points plus rebounds is 18.24, slightly below the line, while the recent run is higher. Given the scoring line above season and his tendency to regress from a hot last 5, the under is the safer call.

raUNDER 9.557%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists sum to 9.0, and his last 10 sits at 10.7, but the books are hanging a tougher 9.5. The over would need the recent rebound/assist pace to hold, which is less reliable than the season baseline.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS