AI Model:

Draymond Green▼

GSW · PF

PPG

8.7

RPG

5.6

APG

5.3

L5 PPG

10.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

8.7

10.4

RPG-0.4

5.6

5.2

APG+1.1

5.3

6.4

SPG+0.4

0.8

1.2

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

8.5

BOS

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs BOS: 0 pts

NOP

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NOP: 11 pts

LAL

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs LAL: 7 pts

LAC

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs LAC: 4 pts

HOU

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs HOU: 10 pts

OKC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs OKC: 16 pts

UTA

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs UTA: 6 pts

CHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHI: 12 pts

WAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs WAS: 5 pts

BOS

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs BOS: 13 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

STL

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

BLK

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

52%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 2

62%

P+A

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

53%

P+R

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

R+A

UNDER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

UNDER 0.5

72%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.1

7.7

RPG

5.5

4.7

APG

5.0

6.0

vs DET (H2H)7 games

PPG

7.9

RPG

7.0

APG

6.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Victor Wembanyama	4	25	53%	+6.4%	medium
Nikola Jokić	3	16	58%	+7.8%	medium
Zion Williamson	2	12	42%	-0.1%	low
Alperen Sengun	2	11	47%

Draymond’s passing is the cleanest angle, with scoring still capped

Draymond Green is averaging 8.7 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.3 assists on the season, with his recent form showing more playmaking than scoring at 6.4 assists over the last 5. His last-5 points are up to 10.4, but his 20-game baseline is still 8.9 points and the trend is down, so the higher scoring stretch looks less stable than the assist workload. He has averaged 6.571428571428571 assists in 7 games vs this opponent, and the available value data favors his assist overs at multiple books. With the Pistons allowing a 109.87 defensive rating and the game projecting at pace 100, his best path remains facilitation rather than an explosive points ceiling.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.4(↑ from 8.7)

RPG

5.2(↓ from 5.6)

APG

6.4(↑ from 5.3)

Stocks

1.6(↑ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so there is no specific defender matchup data to anchor on. The opponent context is neutral-to-favorable for playmaking, with a 109.87 defensive rating and pace of 100, but there is no clear stat-stopping defender profile provided here.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Draymond Green▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✓
Draymond Green▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	5	✗
Draymond Green▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	6	✓
Draymond Green▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	0	✗
Draymond Green▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Draymond Green▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	20%	1	✓
Draymond Green▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✗
Draymond Green▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	40%	4	✓
Draymond Green▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	6	✗
Draymond Green▼	P+R	13.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✗
Draymond Green▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	11	✗
Draymond Green▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

3PA5UNDER27%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

PTS9.5OVER8%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

REB5.5UNDER12%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x9/2045%+8.7% edge▼

FTA0.5UNDER1%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

PRA22.5OVER3%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

R+A12UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A15.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x13/2065%▼

P+R14.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

AST6.5OVER20%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

3PM1.5OVER0%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Draymond Green

Assists OVER 5.5HIGH

This is the cleanest play because the season mean is 5.3, the last-10 is 6.1, the last-5 is 6.4, and he has 6.571428571428571 assists in 7 games vs this opponent. The value data also shows multiple assist overs with positive edge, including a 12.8% edge at one 5.5 line and a 10.6% edge at 4.5, which reinforces the OVER case.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Duren	2	8	19	64%	64%
Ausar Thompson	2	3	4	50%	50%
Isaiah Stewart	1	2	0	0%	0%
Daniss Jenkins	2	1	4	50%	50%
Javonte Green	1	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 8.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.7 points and last-20 is 8.9, so 8.5 is right on the edge, but the recent scoring spike is not strong enough to fully trust for an OVER. The trend is down overall and his role is still more assist-driven than scoring-driven.

reboundsOVER 5.556%MEDIUM

He averages 5.6 rebounds on the season and 5.75 at home, which keeps 5.5 in play. The last-5 dipped to 5.2, so this is only a modest lean and not a high-confidence OVER.

assistsOVER 5.566%MEDIUM

He is at 5.3 assists for the season, 6.1 over the last 10, and 6.4 over the last 5, with 6.571428571428571 assists in 7 games vs this opponent. Value props show multiple OVER edges at 4.5 and 5.5 assist lines, supporting this side.

threesOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He averages 1.58 threes per game on the season and 1.7 over the last 5, so the line is slightly below his norm. Confidence stays modest because the category has variance, and the opponent data does not provide a strong boost.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.8 steals and he is at 1.2 over the last 5, which supports at least one steal. The home split is lower at 0.4, so this is still a moderate lean only.

blocksOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 blocks on the season, which clears the threshold, but his last-10 and last-20 block rates are 0.4 and 0.3. That recent dip makes this a thin OVER despite the low line.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.4 and last-10 is 1.2, both below 1.5. Even with a 1.6 last-5, the longer samples point to under the threshold.

turnoversOVER 262%MEDIUM

He is at 2.2 turnovers over the last 20 and 2.1 over the last 10, with 2.4 in the last 5. The recent ball-handling load suggests he is likely to clear 2.0 again.

paOVER 13.553%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is 14.0 using 8.7 points and 5.3 assists, which is close to the line. Because the combo prop adds variance and the over bias warning applies, this stays only a slight lean.

prOVER 13.555%MEDIUM

He combines 8.7 points and 5.6 rebounds for 14.3 on the season, which is above 13.5. The recent scoring uptick helps, but the overall trend keeps confidence moderate.

raUNDER 10.557%MEDIUM

He averages 11.2 rebounds plus assists on the season, but that number depends heavily on rebounds holding up and his last-10 rebounding has fallen to 4.8. With recent rebounds softer and combo variance high, the under is the safer lean.

double_doubleUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He is not showing consistent double-double production from the provided season and recent averages, with points and rebounds both short of double digits. The season lines and recent logs point away from a true double-double outcome.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS