Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes | 4 | 12 | 0% | -45.2% | medium |
| Tristan da Silva | 4 | 10 | 72% | +21.5% | medium |
| Herbert Jones | 2 | 7 | 57% | -2.3% | low |
| Ronald Holland II | 3 | 7 | 38% |
Kevin Huerter enters this matchup with a season line of 9.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.5 assists, but his recent production has slipped to 7.0 points over the last 10 and 6.5 over the last 5. His minutes have also dipped from a season average of 22.3 to 19.2 over the last 10, which lowers the ceiling across all counting stats. The matchup data is mixed: Detroit’s home split is better than his away production, while the opponent profile shows a 114.35 defensive rating with -0.539 three suppression. With Huerter listed questionable due to a right shoulder issue, the safest angle leans to the under on his scoring and combo props.
There is no specific defender matchup data to target beyond the listed key defenders, and the opponent profile shows a 114.35 defensive rating with -0.539 three suppression. That combination makes it harder to trust Huerter’s scoring volume, especially from deep.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Huerter▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 90% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 40% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 60% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 80% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 50% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | 30% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 60% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | P+R | 15.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 70% |
Kevin Huerter▼ | P+A | 14.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 80% |
This is the cleanest play because his season average is 9.8 points, his last 10 is 7.0, and his last 5 is 8.8. The questionable shoulder status and reduced recent minutes make it tough to project him much above this number.
| medium |
| Luke Kennard | 4 | 7 | 0% | -45.2% | medium |
His season mean is 9.8 points and the recent mean is only 6.5, well below the 12.5 line. The questionable tag and recent minutes decline to 19-20 per game add more downside.
He averages 3.6 rebounds on the season and 2.9 over the last 10, so 3.5 is close to fair but slightly elevated given the recent dip. Standard deviation is 2.43, so this is not a high-confidence play.
His season mean is 2.46 assists and recent mean is 2.1, which sits just under the line. This is a low-variance role stat, but the under is still the cleaner side.
He averages 1.39 threes on the season and only 0.9 recently, with away output at 0.93. The opponent also shows -0.539 three suppression, which supports the under.
He averages 0.8 steals on the season and 0.9 over the last 10, so clearing 0.5 is very plausible. Recent games also show multiple steal outings, including 4 steals against WAS.
His season average is 0.6 blocks and he has matched or exceeded this line often enough to justify a lean over. The volatility is high, so confidence stays modest.
His combined season stocks average is 1.32 and recent mean is 1.0, both below 1.5. Because stocks have high variance, this is only a slight under lean.
His season points plus rebounds average is 13.41, and recent form is even lower because of the scoring drop. That leaves a meaningful gap to 15.5.
His season points plus assists average is 12.26, which is well below 14.5. The recent 6.5-point scoring baseline keeps this under in play.