Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 17 | 78% | +33.8% | medium |
| Mark Williams | 4 | 11 | 50% | +6.0% | medium |
| Donovan Clingan | 4 | 11 | 92% | +39.3% | medium |
| Evan Mobley | 1 | 8 | 33% |
Quinten Post is trending up in playing time and production, with his last 5 jumping to 9.6 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.4 assists in 22.4 minutes versus season marks of 7.9, 4.1, and 1.5. The bigger picture is more modest: his last 20 is basically in line with season output, and his prop standard deviations are high enough to keep confidence in check. Against Detroit, the matchup data is not especially restrictive, but his injury status listed as Out is the biggest limiter to any aggressive projection. With no clear defender-specific edge and an available value market pointing mostly to unders, this profile is best treated conservatively.
No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so there is no clear one-on-one matchup edge to exploit. Detroit’s defense shows a 109.87 defensive rating and a pace of 100, with scoring suppression at -1.254 and three suppression at -1.145, which slightly pressures his scoring and perimeter production.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinten Post▼ | Points | 7.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Quinten Post▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
Quinten Post▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Quinten Post▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% |
Quinten Post▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 40% |
Quinten Post▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 80% |
Quinten Post▼ | P+A | 9.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
Quinten Post▼ | P+R | 11.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
This is the cleanest numbers-based angle: season mean 4.13, last 20 at 4.5, and multiple value entries point to the under at 4.5. The recent 5.5 rebound clip is higher than his baseline, but the longer sample and injury designation make the under the most reliable play.
| low |
| Oso Ighodaro | 3 | 7 | 67% | +22.7% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stewart | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jalen Duren | 1 | 1 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Tobias Harris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jaden Ivey | 1 | 0 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
| Daniss Jenkins | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
Season mean is 7.86, which is basically right on the line, and the last 20 is 7.5 points. The recent uptick to 9.6 is real, but with an Out injury designation and no strong margin versus the book, the under is the safer side.
His season mean is 4.13 rebounds and last 20 is 4.5, both below or near this number, while the recent 5.5 is a short-term spike. The under is also supported by the value data repeatedly favoring the under at 4.5.
His season mean is 1.45 and last 10 is 1.8, with last 5 up to 2.4, so he’s hovering around this threshold. Variance is still high, so this is only a modest lean over.
He averages 1.42 threes per game on the season, but the recent mean is down to 0.9 and the last 20 is 1.1. Detroit’s three suppression is also listed at -1.145, which nudges this toward the under.
His season mean is 0.5 blocks and his last 10 is 0.7, so he’s right on the betting threshold. This remains a low-confidence over because the category is volatile.
He averages 0.92 stocks on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, which is below a 1.5 line. Even with some recent defensive activity, the combined category is too volatile to expect an over.
His season points-plus-assists profile is 9.31, and the last 20 is 8.9, both below this line. The last 5 improvement does not fully outweigh the longer sample.
Season points plus rebounds is 11.99, but the line is shaded above that and the under is the more prudent side given the Out status. The recent surge raises the ceiling, but not enough for a strong over lean.