AI Model:

Ronald Holland II▼

DET · PF

PPG

8.5

RPG

4.3

APG

1.3

L5 PPG

8.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.1

8.5

8.4

RPG-0.5

4.3

3.8

APG-0.7

1.3

0.6

SPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

OVER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

CLE

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CLE: 8 pts

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 10 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 6 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 5 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 16 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 15 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 12 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 2 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 11 pts

WAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs WAS: 2 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 7.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

62%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

71%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

61%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

57%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

68%

P+R

UNDER 11.5STAKE

60%

P+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.7

8.1

RPG

4.8

4.1

APG

1.0

vs GSW (H2H)3 games

PPG

7.0

RPG

2.0

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	3	10	38%	-18.0%	medium
Kevin Huerter	3	7	29%	-14.4%	medium
Bub Carrington	4	7	83%	+23.7%	medium
Anfernee Simons	5	7	14%

Home boost, but scoring ceiling looks capped

Ronald Holland II is averaging 8.5 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.3 assists on the season, with recent production holding near that baseline rather than spiking. His home split is a bit better than away at 9.7 ppg and 4.8 rpg, but his last-5 line has softened to 8.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, and just 0.6 assists. The matchup data points to a tougher scoring environment: the opponent allows a 114.35 defensive rating profile with a -0.23 scoring suppression and a -0.539 three suppression, while his head-to-head sample is only 7.0 ppg and 2.0 rpg across 3 games. With no specific defender matchup data, the safest angle is leaning under on the higher volume lines and trusting his season averages over the modest home bump.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.4(→ from 8.5)

RPG

3.8(↓ from 4.3)

APG

0.6(↓ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

The opponent profile shows a 114.35 defensive rating, -0.23 scoring suppression, and -0.539 three suppression, which points to a tougher scoring environment overall. There is no specific defender matchup data, so this is driven by the team-level defensive context and his 3-game head-to-head average of 7.0 points and 2.0 rebounds.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ronald Holland II▼	Points	7.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	11	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	90%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✗
Ronald Holland II▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	12	✗
Ronald Holland II▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	11	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS8UNDER25%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2UNDER59%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 5x3/1916%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA12UNDER45%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to HIGH; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+A8UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%▼

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)9/1947%▼

3PA1UNDER3%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼

FTM1UNDER45%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x7/1937%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

P+R11OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)10/1953%▼

REB3UNDER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)8/1942%▼

Featured Pick

Ronald Holland II

Assists UNDER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the card because his season average is only 1.28 assists and his last-5 drops to 0.6. The combination of low season volume and weaker recent playmaking makes the under the strongest bet.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Gui Santos	2	3	2	50%	50%
Brandin Podziemski	2	3	5	0%	0%
Stephen Curry	1	2	0	0%	0%
Buddy Hield	1	1	3	100%	150%
De'Anthony Melton	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 7.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.52 points and his home mean is 9.15, both above 7.5. However, the last-5 at 8.4 is only slightly above the line, so this is not a strong edge.

reboundsUNDER 4.562%MEDIUM

He averages 4.3 rebounds for the season and 3.7 over the last 5, both below 4.5. His away and recent splits also sit under the number, which supports the under.

assistsUNDER 1.571%HIGH

His season mean is 1.28 assists and his last-5 is just 0.6, well below 1.5. The reduced recent playmaking makes the under the cleaner play.

stealsOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.2 steals on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, both comfortably above 0.5. Even with some regression risk, the baseline is strong enough for an over look.

stocksUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.53, but the last-5 is only 0.8 and the last-10 is 0.7, which signals recent cooling. Because the metric has higher variance, this is only a modest under lean.

threesUNDER 0.568%MEDIUM

He averages only 0.59 threes per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 5, with a poor 22.8% three-point mark. That makes the under on a half-triple line the safer side.

prUNDER 11.560%MEDIUM

His season PR profile is 12.8 using 8.5 points and 4.3 rebounds, but recent form has dipped with 8.4 points and 3.8 rebounds over the last 5. Combo props carry extra variance, so the lean is toward the under.

paUNDER 7.566%MEDIUM

He is at only 1.28 assists and 8.52 points on season averages, which totals 9.80, but the assist piece has been especially weak recently at 0.6. The line is elevated for his passing output, so the under is favored.

timelineOVER 7.5 PTS