Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe | 3 | 10 | 38% | -18.0% | medium |
| Kevin Huerter | 3 | 7 | 29% | -14.4% | medium |
| Bub Carrington | 4 | 7 | 83% | +23.7% | medium |
| Anfernee Simons | 5 | 7 | 14% |
Ronald Holland II is averaging 8.5 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.3 assists on the season, with recent production holding near that baseline rather than spiking. His home split is a bit better than away at 9.7 ppg and 4.8 rpg, but his last-5 line has softened to 8.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, and just 0.6 assists. The matchup data points to a tougher scoring environment: the opponent allows a 114.35 defensive rating profile with a -0.23 scoring suppression and a -0.539 three suppression, while his head-to-head sample is only 7.0 ppg and 2.0 rpg across 3 games. With no specific defender matchup data, the safest angle is leaning under on the higher volume lines and trusting his season averages over the modest home bump.
The opponent profile shows a 114.35 defensive rating, -0.23 scoring suppression, and -0.539 three suppression, which points to a tougher scoring environment overall. There is no specific defender matchup data, so this is driven by the team-level defensive context and his 3-game head-to-head average of 7.0 points and 2.0 rebounds.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ronald Holland II▼ | Points | 7.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 11 | ✓ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 1 | ✓ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | P+R | 11.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 12 | ✗ |
Ronald Holland II▼ | P+A | 7.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 11 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest edge in the card because his season average is only 1.28 assists and his last-5 drops to 0.6. The combination of low season volume and weaker recent playmaking makes the under the strongest bet.
| medium |
| Keyonte George | 2 | 6 | 50% | -3.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gui Santos | 2 | 3 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 0% |
| Stephen Curry | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Buddy Hield | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
| De'Anthony Melton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 8.52 points and his home mean is 9.15, both above 7.5. However, the last-5 at 8.4 is only slightly above the line, so this is not a strong edge.
He averages 4.3 rebounds for the season and 3.7 over the last 5, both below 4.5. His away and recent splits also sit under the number, which supports the under.
His season mean is 1.28 assists and his last-5 is just 0.6, well below 1.5. The reduced recent playmaking makes the under the cleaner play.
He averages 1.2 steals on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, both comfortably above 0.5. Even with some regression risk, the baseline is strong enough for an over look.
His season stocks average is 1.53, but the last-5 is only 0.8 and the last-10 is 0.7, which signals recent cooling. Because the metric has higher variance, this is only a modest under lean.
He averages only 0.59 threes per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 5, with a poor 22.8% three-point mark. That makes the under on a half-triple line the safer side.
His season PR profile is 12.8 using 8.5 points and 4.3 rebounds, but recent form has dipped with 8.4 points and 3.8 rebounds over the last 5. Combo props carry extra variance, so the lean is toward the under.
He is at only 1.28 assists and 8.52 points on season averages, which totals 9.80, but the assist piece has been especially weak recently at 0.6. The line is elevated for his passing output, so the under is favored.