AI Model:

Dean Wade▲

CLE · PF

PPG

5.9

RPG

4.3

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

4.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.1

5.9

4.8

RPG-0.5

4.3

3.8

APG-0.7

1.5

0.8

SPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

OKC

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs OKC: 0 pts

NYK

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NYK: 11 pts

MIL

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MIL: 0 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 7 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 0 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIL: 9 pts

CHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CHI: 0 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

70%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

66%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

78%

3PM

OVER 0.5BETONLINEAG

63%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

64%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

UNDER 2

72%

PRA

UNDER 11.5STAKE

68%

R+A

UNDER 6.5STAKE

74%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.6

4.0

RPG

6.0

3.9

APG

1.2

1.5

vs NOP (H2H)7 games

PPG

8.6

RPG

4.3

APG

1.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	4	12	54%	-1.5%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	11	25%	-18.2%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	7%	-36.5%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	10	75%

Wade’s role is stable, but the scoring ceiling looks capped

Dean Wade is averaging 5.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG, and 1.5 APG on 22.5 MPG this season, with recent production staying in the same range at 5.5 PPG over his last 10. His home split is notably better than his away split, especially in points (9.6 at home vs 4.0 away) and rebounds (6.0 vs 3.9), which helps slightly in this matchup since Cleveland is on the road? No — this game is in New Orleans, so the away split is the more relevant baseline. With Jarrett Allen out, Wade’s rebounding opportunity is supported, but his points profile remains volatile and his recent 5-game scoring average is only 4.8.

Stat Trends

PPG

4.8(↓ from 5.9)

RPG

3.8(↓ from 4.3)

APG

0.8(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. The opponent context is mixed: New Orleans allows a 119.27 defensive rating environment with 100 pace, but the opponent also shows a 0.9 scoring suppression and -1.192 three suppression, which is not especially supportive for Wade’s scoring efficiency.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Dean Wade▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	7	✓
Dean Wade▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	5	✓
Dean Wade▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	1/2	80%	3	✗
Dean Wade▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Dean Wade▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	30%	2	✓
Dean Wade▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	90%	2	✗
Dean Wade▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	100%	1	✓
Dean Wade▼	PRA	11.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	15	✗
Dean Wade▼	R+A	6.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	60%	8	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS6.5UNDER32%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA11.5UNDER16%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

P+R10.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

REB4OVER47%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

AST1UNDER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PM1UNDER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

3PA3UNDER39%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Dean Wade

Assists UNDER 2.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number relative to his role. Dean Wade is at 1.5 APG for the season, 1.5 APG away, and only 0.8 APG over his last 5, so 2.5 is well above his normal distribution.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Zion Williamson	2	7	8	57%	57%
Saddiq Bey	2	4	3	25%	25%
Derik Queen	2	2	2	17%	17%
Trey Murphy III	2	1	2	100%	100%
Bryce McGowens	1	1	6	67%	83%

pointsUNDER 7.570%HIGH

He averages 5.9 PPG on the season and 4.0 PPG away, both below this number. Recent form is also soft at 4.8 PPG over the last 5, so the under is the more conservative side.

reboundsUNDER 5.566%MEDIUM

Season average is 4.3 RPG and away split is 3.9 RPG, both under 5.5. Jarrett Allen being out does help the rebound path, but Wade’s recent 5-game average is still only 3.8 RPG.

assistsUNDER 2.578%HIGH

He averages 1.5 APG on the season and 1.5 APG away, with just 0.8 APG over the last 5. That makes 2.5 a clear step above his normal output.

threesOVER 0.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.22 threes per game on the season and 1.15 away, both above 0.5. The recent 5-game mark is 0.8, so the over still has support despite some volatility.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.7 steals and his last 20 is 0.8, which supports a playable over on a 0.5 line. That said, his last 5 is only 0.2, so confidence stays modest.

blocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.4 away, below the line. The recent 5-game block rate is just 0.2, which keeps the under intact.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.15 and away is 1.2, both below 1.5. Recent production is also just 0.4 stocks over the last 5, so this is slightly too high.

turnoversUNDER 272%HIGH

He averages only 0.2 turnovers in both the last 10 and last 20, so 2.0 is far above his normal range. Low usage also keeps the under attractive.

praUNDER 11.568%MEDIUM

His season production is 5.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.5 assists, which totals 11.7 PRA on average, but his away split and recent scoring dip pull the projection down. With combo props carrying more variance, this is a cautious under lean rather than an aggressive edge.

raUNDER 6.574%HIGH

He averages 5.8 rebounds plus assists season-long and 5.4 combined away, both under 6.5. The last 5 has fallen to 4.6 combined, strengthening the under.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS