AI Model:

Dejounte Murray▲

NOP · PG

PPG

19.4

RPG

5.3

APG

5.9

L5 PPG

22.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.2

19.4

22.6

RPG+0.7

5.3

6.0

APG-0.3

5.9

5.6

SPG-0.1

1.7

1.6

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

OVER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

17.5

BOS

2025-01-31

2025-01-31 vs BOS: 4 pts

GSW

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs GSW: 13 pts

UTA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs UTA: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 15 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 19 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 27 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 35 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 17 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

AST

UNDER 6.5BETMGM

57%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

74%

STL

OVER 1.5

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

72%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

60%

UNDER 3.5

61%

PRA

OVER 31.5

54%

P+A

OVER 26

52%

UNDER 0.5

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

19.1

20.4

RPG

5.1

7.0

APG

5.7

6.7

vs CLE (H2H)10 games

PPG

20.9

RPG

6.0

APG

6.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	2	9	60%	-8.4%	low
Amen Thompson	2	7	43%	-5.5%	low
Jalen Brunson	1	6	40%	-8.4%	low
Kris Dunn	2	6	63%	+1.6%

Murray’s scoring and threes are trending up, but the assist prop looks capped

Dejounte Murray is in strong recent form, with his last 5 games jumping to 22.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and 5.6 APG while playing 29.2 MPG. His season baseline is still a more modest 19.4 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 5.9 APG, so the hot stretch is real but should be weighted carefully against regression. The matchup environment is supportive for scoring with Cleveland’s opponent defense showing a 114.81 defensive rating and Jarrett Allen out, and Murray has also produced 20.9 PPG and 6.0 APG in 10 games vs this opponent. The biggest caution is turnovers and volatility: his recent usage has come with 3.4 TOPG in the last 5, which can limit efficiency and stabilize a lower assist outcome than the market may expect.

Stat Trends

PPG

22.6(↑ from 19.4)

RPG

6.0(↑ from 5.3)

APG

5.6(→ from 5.9)

Key Matchup

The opponent context is neutral-to-positive for offense with a 114.81 defensive rating and Jarrett Allen listed out. There is no specific defender matchup data to lean on beyond the provided key defenders field.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Dejounte Murray▼	Points	17.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	12	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Assists	6.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	9	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	74%HIGH	1/2	50%	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Turnovers	3.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	PRA	31.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	24	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	P+A	26	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	21	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

3PA4.5UNDER49%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x7/1450%▼

PRA31.5UNDER17%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x3/1421%+23.0% edge▼

REB5.5UNDER9%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)6/1443%+5.2% edge▼

3PM1.5UNDER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x5/1436%+9.3% edge▼

R+A11.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)7/1450%▼

P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)6/1443%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)5/1436%▼

PTS18.5OVER7%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)4/1429%▼

AST6.5UNDER0%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x5/1436%+10.8% edge▼

FTM2.5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x7/1450%▼

FTA2.5UNDER6%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x7/1450%▼

STL1UNDER13%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)6/1443%▼

Featured Pick

Dejounte Murray

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the strongest combination of season production and value. Murray averages 1.78 made threes on the season, 2.0 over his last 5, and the value data shows a 17.2% edge at 1.5, which is well above the threshold for a strong play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Donovan Mitchell	1	5	0	0%	0%
James Harden	1	2	4	100%	100%
Sam Merrill	1	1	2	100%	100%
Evan Mobley	1	1	2	100%	100%
Max Strus	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 17.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 19.4 PPG and his last 5 are 22.6 PPG, both above this line. Even with regression risk, the opponent context and recent scoring form support a small lean over.

reboundsOVER 5.555%MEDIUM

He averages 5.3 rebounds on the season and 6.0 over the last 5, with 6.0 RPG in 10 games vs this opponent. This is close enough to the number to lean over, but confidence stays modest.

assistsUNDER 6.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 5.9 APG and his last 5 are 5.6 APG, both below 6.5. The recent assist data is not strong enough to justify an over in a prop category with high variance.

threesOVER 1.574%HIGH

He averages 1.78 made threes on the season and has 2.0 over the last 5, which is comfortably above 1.5. The value data also shows a 17.2% edge at this line, making this the clearest angle.

stealsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.7 steals on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, so the floor for a defensive stats over is solid. The volatility is still meaningful, so confidence stays moderate.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

His season block average is only 0.2, and his last 5 blocks are 0.0. This is a low-volume block profile, so the under is the clean side.

stocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

He combines 1.7 steals and 0.2 blocks for 1.9 stocks per game on the season, with 1.6 over the last 5. That clears 1.5, though the block component is minimal.

turnoversUNDER 3.561%MEDIUM

He has 3.4 turnovers per game in his last 5 and 3.1 over his last 20, so the market would likely price this near a volatile range. The recent run is elevated, but the projected line is high enough to prefer the under.

praOVER 31.554%MEDIUM

His season blend of 19.4 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 5.9 assists gives a strong base, and the last 5 trend is even better at 22.6/6.0/5.6. Combo props are volatile, so this is only a modest lean.

paOVER 2652%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists profile is 25.3, and recent scoring is up even though assists have held around 5.6 to 5.9. This is playable, but combo risk keeps confidence low.

double_doubleUNDER 0.555%MEDIUM

He has multiple near-double-digit categories, but his typical rebound and assist ranges still make a double-double far from automatic. The safest read is that he does not get there consistently enough to support the over.

timelineOVER 17.5 PTS